US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

$55.3K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Frances Tiafoe 58.5%
Alex Michelsen 41.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 8,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,550% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 5,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,000%):US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持著 6,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,550¢。
  • US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,950%):以 5,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen (5,850%)、US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 36.5 (5,750%),以及 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner (5,500%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 3 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.58000.0%8000¢-7900¢
2US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.56550.0%$1526550¢-6450¢
3US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
4US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen5850.0%$55.2K5850¢-5750¢
5US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 36.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
6US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
7US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 3 Winner5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
8US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner5400.0%$35400¢-5300¢
9US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 38.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
10US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Game Spread +/-1.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
11Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 40.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
23US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
24US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
25US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
26US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
27US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-2.52100.0%2100¢-2000¢
28US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-2.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Alex Michelsen.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Frances Tiafoe.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:59 PM
    $1.24

    Bought 2.952381 Alex Michelsen for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.42

  • 08:29 PM
    KOkottenok
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949153 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.59

  • 08:20 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $4,334.82

    Bought 7604.95 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.57

  • 08:01 PM
    $1.45

    Bought 3.295455 Alex Michelsen for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.44

  • 08:01 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $8,860.65

    Bought 15545 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.57

  • 07:24 PM
    RPrplc-ftbl
    $9.69

    Bought 17 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.57

  • 06:59 PM
    0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906
    $4.50

    Bought 10.227273 Alex Michelsen for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.44

  • 06:35 PM
    PIpirate06
    $9.78

    Bought 22.22 Alex Michelsen for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.44

  • 06:34 PM
    HAhassan110786
    $128.25

    Bought 225 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.57

  • 06:33 PM
    LAlarame
    $4.85

    Bought 8.5 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.57

  • 05:56 PM
    BObonneville
    $6.90

    Bought 15.681817 Alex Michelsen for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.44

  • 05:54 PM
    0X0x5E584658B86169a39ecFDCcf890D8EE181985BF4-1777286053343
    $3.20

    Bought 5.614034 Frances Tiafoe for US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen at 0.57

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FA1
fastball67
事件損益
+$107.05
成交量
$29,379.90
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
DV2
dv-pm
事件損益
+$155.47
成交量
$15,545.00
持倉數
Frances Tiafoe
BC3
0xBc43…7816
事件損益
+$110.24
成交量
$8,956.71
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
-$38.02
成交量
$7,604.95
持倉數
Frances Tiafoe
655
6512395314597884
事件損益
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持倉數
Frances Tiafoe
ST6
Stickman22
事件損益
+$2.48
成交量
$3,999.99
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$116.66
成交量
$3,333.00
持倉數
Frances Tiafoe
GC8
GC-P
事件損益
-$30.00
成交量
$3,000.00
持倉數
Frances Tiafoe

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,550%),以及 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5(5,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始