
Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck
核心摘要
根據「Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Hunter Heck 以壓倒性的 9,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ilia Simakin 以 50% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $279.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Hunter Heck (9,950%):Hunter Heck 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Ilia Simakin (50%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ilia Simakin 保持著 50% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 50¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Heck | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Ilia Simakin | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Hunter Heck in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Hunter Heck.
This market will resolve to 'Hunter Heck' if Hunter Heck advances against Ilia Simakin.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 18, 2026
- 11:59 PMTLtlvtech$6.30
Bought 14 Ilia Simakin for Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-5.5) vs Hunter Heck (+5.5) at 0.45
- 11:54 PMTLtlvtech$214.65
Bought 477 Ilia Simakin for Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-5.5) vs Hunter Heck (+5.5) at 0.45
- 10:54 PMOSoska90$5.00
Bought 6.25 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 10:52 PMBAbattlecruiser$4.27
Bought 5.3375 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 10:52 PMBAbattlecruiser$5.46
Bought 6.825 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:37 PMPApaynetoni$4.11
Bought 19.571429 Hunter Heck for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.21
- 09:32 PMSJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq$21.78
Sold 726 Yes for Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.03
- 09:28 PMSJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq$711.48
Bought 726 Yes for Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.98
- 09:22 PMYOyoooogo$49.60
Bought 62 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PM-K-kest-$9.84
Bought 12.3 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PMPAPapanya$4.00
Bought 5 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PM——$45.21
Bought 56.5125 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Hunter Heck 以 9,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ilia Simakin(50%)。該市場總成交量已達 $279.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
