US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

$44.1K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Carlos Alcaraz 77.5%
Ben Shelton 22.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以壓倒性的 6,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 6,000% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 5,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $44.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,250%):US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $15 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 保持著 6,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,000¢。
  • US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,900%):以 5,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner (5,650%)、US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 (5,200%),以及 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-4.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.56250.0%$156250¢-6150¢
2US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
3US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.55900.0%$1765900¢-5800¢
4US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
5US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.55200.0%$165200¢-5100¢
6US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-4.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
20US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
21US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
22US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.53350.0%$63350¢-3250¢
23US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
24US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.53300.0%$503300¢-3200¢
25US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
26US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz2250.0%$43.8K2250¢-2150¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Carlos Alcaraz.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Ben Shelton.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CU1
Cuco84
事件損益
-$128.18
成交量
$25,641.03
持倉數
Carlos Alcaraz
FB2
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$35.00
成交量
$6,999.98
持倉數
Ben Shelton
HU3
hulinali
事件損益
+$33.89
成交量
$6,767.21
持倉數
Carlos Alcaraz
ON4
one8tyfive
事件損益
+$27.27
成交量
$5,453.10
持倉數
Ben Shelton
ST5
StasPanda
事件損益
+$20.04
成交量
$4,008.02
持倉數
Ben Shelton
006
0000.
事件損益
-$19.23
成交量
$3,846.15
持倉數
Carlos Alcaraz
IN7
INADEDEN
事件損益
-$122.01
成交量
$3,749.77
持倉數
Ben Shelton
HI8
hi774c
事件損益
+$39.39
成交量
$3,231.40
持倉數
UnderBen Shelton

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5(6,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5(5,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $44.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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