China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech

$5 Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Arthur Rinderknech 60.0%
Alex Molcan 40.0%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $5,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (5,350%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%),以及 China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
2China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech4100.0%$54100¢-4000¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Arthur Rinderknech in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Arthur Rinderknech.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Alex Molcan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $5,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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