Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

$123.8K Vol
2026年10月21日
Active
機率趨勢
Alex de Minaur 100.0%
Karen Khachanov 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $123.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner (9,995%):Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,950%)、Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov (9,155%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-1.5 (8,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner9995.0%$2.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%$689995¢-9895¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 9.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov9155.0%$315.8K9155¢-9055¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-1.58950.0%$4708950¢-8850¢
7Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner7945.0%$507945¢-7845¢
8Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.57900.0%$3.8K7900¢-7800¢
9Completed Match5350.0%$4405350¢-5250¢
10Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 22.55150.0%$9445150¢-5050¢
11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 21.55000.0%$1645000¢-4900¢
13Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Total Sets: O/U 2.52150.0%$4102150¢-2050¢
14Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 23.51910.0%$1.2K1910¢-1810¢
15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 9.55.0%$195¢95¢
16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 10.55.0%$1515¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Karen Khachanov.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alex de Minaur.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 13, 2026

  • 12:57 AM
    SISixfrog
    $27.00

    Bought 49.090908 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.55

  • 12:56 AM
    ——
    $40.00

    Bought 72.727273 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.55

  • 12:55 AM
    0X0x941027e9Edee484f2dC7455a304f42272346b32e-1779353218895
    $10.00

    Bought 23.809524 Over 2.5 for Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.42

  • 12:53 AM
    ——
    $4.91

    Sold 9.09 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.54

  • 12:51 AM
    ——
    $19.37

    Bought 35.218182 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.55

  • 12:48 AM
    TETennism
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.55

  • 12:45 AM
    0X0xA53899D623822374AA564E9E5417D9414Fd71EE9-1773797416386
    $6.00

    Bought 10.909091 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.55

  • 12:32 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.46

  • 12:25 AM
    SKskyliine
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Alex de Minaur for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.55

  • 12:20 AM
    EPepistemic
    $46.00

    Bought 100 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.46

  • 12:18 AM
    MImillionaire9
    $3.85

    Bought 4.425284 Over for Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.87

  • 12:12 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $60.96

    Bought 132.52174 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BC1
0xBc43…7816
事件損益
-$99.31
成交量
$20,157.01
持倉數
Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur
NI2
nigiri99
事件損益
-$59.84
成交量
$11,491.00
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
BA3
Bagwell306
事件損益
+$37.50
成交量
$7,500.00
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
DA4
danmanud
事件損益
-$180.70
成交量
$7,295.16
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
5C5
0x5c54…f1d2
事件損益
-$119.22
成交量
$3,482.62
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
QW6
qwewrasdzxffdfzvdfgdzhfdh
事件損益
-$11.99
成交量
$2,398.25
持倉數
Alex de Minaur
KI7
kingflop
事件損益
+$59.28
成交量
$2,371.37
持倉數
Alex de Minaur
128
1234162
事件損益
-$31.91
成交量
$2,127.66
持倉數
Karen Khachanov

常見問題

目前市場對「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5(9,995%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $123.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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