China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz

$201.8K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Alex de Minaur 58.5%
Hubert Hurkacz 41.5%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 8,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz 以 5,850% 位居第二,China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner 以 5,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $201.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,300%):China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $59 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz (5,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz 保持著 5,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,850¢。
  • China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner (5,650%):以 5,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner (5,600%)、China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5 (5,600%),以及 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.58300.0%$598300¢-8200¢
2China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz5850.0%$282.8K5850¢-5750¢
3China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner5650.0%$175650¢-5550¢
4China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner5600.0%$1235600¢-5500¢
5China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.55600.0%$55600¢-5500¢
6China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-1.55250.0%$1495250¢-5150¢
7China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.55100.0%$45100¢-5000¢
8Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.54850.0%$124850¢-4750¢
14China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.54250.0%$1624250¢-4150¢
15China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.53550.0%$1.5K3550¢-3450¢
16China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Alex de Minaur.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 5, 2026

  • 01:09 AM
    MSmscjava
    $3.00

    Bought 5.357143 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.56

  • 01:03 AM
    ——
    $9.26

    Bought 20.57 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.45

  • 01:03 AM
    KAkahe
    $14,500.00

    Bought 25892.857143 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.56

  • 12:17 AM
    NInigiri99
    $24.08

    Bought 56 Over 2.5 for Alex de Minaur vs. Hubert Hurkacz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.43

  • 12:08 AM
    SHShblooz
    $2.00

    Bought 3.571429 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.56

  • 12:03 AM
    FEfelixroj
    $4.00

    Bought 7.142856 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.56

  • 12:03 AM
    00000brokie000
    $300.00

    Bought 535.714286 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.56

Oct 4, 2026

  • 11:54 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $84.76

    Bought 154.11 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.55

  • 11:51 PM
    GOGota0
    $12.00

    Bought 26.086957 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.46

  • 11:48 PM
    0X0x2346E91FEaDaa96f1eA5505d4A6a0AEd78e3793c-1767698481321
    $2.68

    Bought 4.872728 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.55

  • 11:46 PM
    ——
    $19.37

    Bought 35.218182 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.55

  • 11:37 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KA1
kahe
事件損益
-$129.44
成交量
$25,892.86
持倉數
Alex de Minaur
IS2
isco23
事件損益
-$37.16
成交量
$12,500.00
持倉數
Alex de Minaur
323
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
+$58.54
成交量
$11,708.27
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
SI4
SineNooneEI
事件損益
+$97.73
成交量
$6,515.15
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
KI5
kingflop
事件損益
+$31.14
成交量
$6,228.00
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$0.07
成交量
$6,000.00
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
GC7
GC-P
事件損益
+$1.15
成交量
$2,422.30
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
998
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
+$8.41
成交量
$2,077.36
持倉數
Hubert HurkaczAlex de MinaurUnder

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz(5,850%),以及 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner(5,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $201.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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