China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo

$452.7K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Daniil Medvedev 100.0%
Francisco Cerundolo 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $452.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo (9,995%):China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $433.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%)、China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-3.5 (9,995%),以及 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo9995.0%$433.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner9995.0%$1.7K9995¢-9895¢
4China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$2.5K9995¢-9895¢
5China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-3.59995.0%$6.2K9995¢-9895¢
6China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$2.0K5¢95¢
7China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
8China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
9China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 22.55.0%$6315¢95¢
10China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 23.55.0%$25¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:33 AM
    SUsuperlarry
    $55.00

    Bought 77.464789 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

  • 01:27 AM
    RKrkornetskyi
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Francisco Cerundolo for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.3

  • 12:12 AM
    OLolivzer
    $5.00

    Bought 16.666667 Francisco Cerundolo for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.3

  • 12:03 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $93.62

    Bought 131.859155 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

Oct 3, 2026

  • 11:15 PM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

  • 10:47 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.68

    Bought 6.591548 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

  • 10:37 PM
    MAMarcos9818
    $60.00

    Bought 200 Francisco Cerundolo for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.3

  • 10:34 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $18.72

    Bought 26.366196 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

  • 10:23 PM
    STStefnc
    $20.00

    Bought 28.169013 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

  • 09:28 PM
    JAJasonha
    $213.00

    Bought 300 Daniil Medvedev for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.71

  • 09:20 PM
    MUmuymaurice
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Francisco Cerundolo for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.3

  • 09:07 PM
    LAlarame
    $4.65

    Bought 15.5 Francisco Cerundolo for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.3

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FA1
fastball67
事件損益
+$80.04
成交量
$11,999.99
持倉數
Daniil Medvedev
NI2
nigiri99
事件損益
-$33.86
成交量
$6,771.00
持倉數
Francisco Cerundolo
GG3
ggrrb
事件損益
-$48.26
成交量
$5,652.00
持倉數
Francisco Cerundolo
944
0x9438…0474
事件損益
+$2.50
成交量
$499.99
持倉數
Daniil Medvedev
NE5
neutralwave23
事件損益
+$0.64
成交量
$494.59
持倉數
Daniil Medvedev
NM6
NM-P
事件損益
+$2.49
成交量
$487.27
持倉數
Francisco Cerundolo
PO7
Po1yamory
事件損益
-$1.64
成交量
$478.21
持倉數
Francisco CerundoloUnder
TE8
testing001
事件損益
-$2.11
成交量
$422.54
持倉數
Daniil Medvedev

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $452.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始