St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

$466.6K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Harold Mayot 100.0%
Murphy Cassone 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Murphy Cassone 以壓倒性的 7,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Harold Mayot 以 3,000% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $466.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Murphy Cassone (7,000%):Murphy Cassone 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Harold Mayot (3,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Harold Mayot 保持著 3,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,000¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Murphy Cassone7000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
2Harold Mayot3000.0%—3000¢-2900¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone.

This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:18 PM
    ——
    $6.79

    Bought 11.13 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.61

  • 12:16 PM
    PApauleta23
    $2.04

    Bought 4.744187 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.43

  • 12:16 PM
    DWdwedwd
    $0.11

    Bought 0.25 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.43

  • 12:16 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $168.00

    Bought 400 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:16 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $126.00

    Bought 300 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:16 PM
    REreezint
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.41

  • 12:14 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.6

  • 12:14 PM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.6

  • 12:13 PM
    RIrixos
    $1.10

    Bought 110 No for St. Tropez: Completed Match: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.01

  • 12:12 PM
    0X0x3dECa5F84ab09E33a4025a0dF40f491e427179bc-1788335530811
    $2.20

    Bought 5.238096 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:12 PM
    MAmathacewa
    $4.10

    Sold 10 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.41

  • 12:12 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $21.76

    Bought 51.809524 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SL1
slowbettor
事件損益
+$5,472.13
成交量
$16,420.82
持倉數
Murphy Cassone
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
-$451.03
成交量
$9,560.84
持倉數
Harold Mayot
F13
0xf12f…3239
事件損益
+$1,724.51
成交量
$5,334.90
持倉數
Murphy Cassone
CA4
Carlos10
事件損益
-$1,785.71
成交量
$4,761.90
持倉數
Harold Mayot
RN5
RN1
事件損益
-$1,648.20
成交量
$3,932.76
持倉數
Harold Mayot
KI6
kingflop
事件損益
+$1,190.08
成交量
$3,173.55
持倉數
Murphy Cassone
UP7
UpTheBlues
事件損益
+$13.15
成交量
$2,092.88
持倉數
Murphy Cassone
LK8
lkjasdf
事件損益
-$550.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Harold Mayot

常見問題

目前市場對「St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Murphy Cassone 以 7,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Harold Mayot(3,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $466.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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