US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

$163.7K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Michael Zheng 61.5%
Fabian Marozsan 38.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,700% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5 以 5,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $163.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,350%):US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,700%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持著 6,700% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,700¢。
  • US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5 (5,550%):以 5,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,500%)、US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,350%),以及 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 38.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.56700.0%$3.6K6700¢-6600¢
3US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.55550.0%$3135550¢-5450¢
4US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-1.55500.0%$25500¢-5400¢
5US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 38.55150.0%$6465150¢-5050¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 40.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
20US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.54450.0%$214450¢-4350¢
22US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
23US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng3850.0%$159.0K3850¢-3750¢
24US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 4.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
25US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
26US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-2.52150.0%$622150¢-2050¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Michael Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Fabian Marozsan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 2, 2026

  • 08:33 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.60

    Bought 11.5 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 08:21 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 Under for Marozsan vs. Zheng: Match O/U 38.5 at 0.47

  • 08:16 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278687 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.61

  • 06:58 AM
    GRgrunix
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:57 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $47.22

    Sold 118.05 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:55 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $480.00

    Sold 1200 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321
    $19.66

    Sold 33.33 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.59

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321
    $20.00

    Bought 33.333332 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.6

  • 06:54 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $480.00

    Sold 1200 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:54 AM
    GAGamblingAddict12345
    $21.00

    Sold 50 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.42

  • 06:54 AM
    NINiNo999
    $353.10

    Sold 619.48 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.57

  • 06:53 AM
    NINiNo999
    $4,347.91

    Sold 7627.91 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.57

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件損益
+$95.42
成交量
$19,051.17
持倉數
Michael Zheng
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
-$418.37
成交量
$10,963.47
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
FA3
fastball67
事件損益
+$341.23
成交量
$9,748.34
持倉數
Michael Zheng
HI4
hi774c
事件損益
+$93.71
成交量
$9,210.67
持倉數
Fabian MarozsanMarozsan
RA5
RanaAmariPredicts
事件損益
-$459.86
成交量
$8,550.77
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
RN6
RN1
事件損益
+$37.63
成交量
$7,776.90
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
CO7
coolz122
事件損益
+$169.73
成交量
$6,789.00
持倉數
Michael Zheng
AL8
alpheclabs
事件損益
+$229.58
成交量
$6,559.48
持倉數
Michael Zheng

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,700%),以及 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5(5,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $163.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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