Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel

$424K Vol
2026年10月2日
Active
機率趨勢
Fabian Marozsan 58.5%
Taro Daniel 45.0%

核心摘要

根據「Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel 以 4,450% 位居第二,Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.5 以 50% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $424K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel (4,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel 保持著 4,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,450¢。
  • Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.5 (50%):以 50% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5000.0%$5.5K5000¢-4900¢
2Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel4450.0%$394.0K4450¢-4350¢
3Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.550.0%$21550¢50¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Taro Daniel in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Taro Daniel.

This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Fabian Marozsan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 24, 2026

  • 11:29 PM
    PApapillon1
    $81.47

    Bought 119.808821 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 11:05 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.59

    Bought 13.909091 Taro Daniel for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.33

  • 11:04 PM
    MAMarcos9818
    $50.00

    Bought 73.529412 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 10:49 PM
    PApaulaoofc
    $8.84

    Bought 13 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 10:39 PM
    VIVictory2030
    $7.81

    Bought 11.485293 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 10:38 PM
    VIVictory2030
    $33.38

    Bought 49.823528 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 10:38 PM
    VIVictory2030
    $142.93

    Bought 207.144925 Fabian Marozsan for Set 2 Winner: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.69

  • 09:16 PM
    ASASMDIAIDSA
    $300.00

    Bought 447.761193 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 09:10 PM
    ——
    $36.45

    Bought 54.402984 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 09:03 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $26.53

    Bought 39.597015 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 09:01 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $186.86

    Bought 278.895521 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 08:26 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $78.81

    Sold 2627 No for Hangzhou Open: Completed Match: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.03

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

OR1
ORI-
事件損益
+$4,079.91
成交量
$35,048.74
持倉數
Taro DanielTaro Daniel
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$55.15
成交量
$13,155.70
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
F13
0xf12f…3239
事件損益
+$1,020.67
成交量
$11,296.93
持倉數
Taro Daniel
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$849.25
成交量
$7,960.96
持倉數
Fabian MarozsanFabian MarozsanOver
0X5
0x0x23…h8c9
事件損益
-$882.35
成交量
$7,352.94
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
FB6
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
-$656.05
成交量
$5,704.80
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
887
88M
事件損益
-$254.97
成交量
$5,099.43
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan
9F8
0x9f15…bdb3
事件損益
-$463.47
成交量
$4,030.18
持倉數
Fabian Marozsan

常見問題

目前市場對「Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel(4,450%),以及 Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.5(50%)。該市場總成交量已達 $424K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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