US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

$192.6K Vol
2026年9月14日
Active
機率趨勢
Learner Tien 63.5%
Karen Khachanov 36.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,650% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 以 5,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $192.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,600%):US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,650%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持著 6,650% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,650¢。
  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 (5,750%):以 5,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,450%)、US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.5 (5,400%),以及 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.56650.0%$2.2K6650¢-6550¢
3US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.55750.0%$405750¢-5650¢
4US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
5US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.55400.0%$365400¢-5300¢
6US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.54600.0%$2814600¢-4500¢
19US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
20US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
22US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
23US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien3650.0%$190.1K3650¢-3550¢
24US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
25US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Learner Tien.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Karen Khachanov.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 09:05 AM
    0X0xCad22bcC3C5f2e35F12313d968fd413F376BF315-1781670340741
    $10.00

    Bought 27.027026 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.37

  • 09:03 AM
    EAeakhmetgaliev
    $30.00

    Bought 46.875 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:55 AM
    ABAbso74
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:54 AM
    PEpekpym
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 Under 3.5 for Karen Khachanov vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.34

  • 08:44 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462684 Over 3.5 for Karen Khachanov vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.67

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0x10BD06862579CE7fCc90E1602850b32a8C7c675C-1777947352899
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638296 Tien for Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0x10BD06862579CE7fCc90E1602850b32a8C7c675C-1777947352899
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:30 AM
    $1.93

    Bought 3.015625 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0xd8a5f5EeffA028d9DC76FF690Ad88fF92aB6360f-1781842982286
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.37

  • 08:24 AM
    POpolice0
    $3.15

    Sold 5 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63

  • 08:16 AM
    0X0xCc6b29A00A01519c26EF2f40283A5e6159D71b16-1774803167604
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:16 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $14,111.00

    Bought 38137.85 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.37

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AV1
AV23IUa
事件損益
+$594.55
成交量
$118,668.02
持倉數
Learner Tien
DE2
degenfren
事件損益
-$249.87
成交量
$49,999.99
持倉數
Learner Tien
NE3
neutralwave23
事件損益
-$3.89
成交量
$48,292.03
持倉數
Karen KhachanovOver 3.5
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件損益
-$64.74
成交量
$25,781.45
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
FB5
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$0.02
成交量
$19,999.98
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
HI6
hi774c
事件損益
-$59.94
成交量
$15,302.88
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
997
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
+$17.11
成交量
$10,545.00
持倉數
Karen Khachanov
0F8
0F62
事件損益
-$41.45
成交量
$8,291.34
持倉數
Learner Tien

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,650%),以及 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5(5,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $192.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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