China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino
核心摘要
根據「China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Adrian Mannarino 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場；Miomir Kecmanovic 以 5% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $730.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Adrian Mannarino (9,995%)：Adrian Mannarino 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Miomir Kecmanovic (5%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Miomir Kecmanovic 保持著 5% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian Mannarino | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino.
This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 28, 2026
- 12:09 PMLIlifeonrock$51.24
Sold 104.58 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.49
- 12:09 PMUPUpTheBlues$22.16
Bought 44.32 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PM0X0x93078B5DD1C34D0F288d2F51B23f1347520D9dA3-1775700757892$5.20
Bought 10.4 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PMPBPBot-10$2.55
Bought 5 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.51
- 12:09 PMTHthestingsnake$15.60
Bought 31.2 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PMTHthestingsnake$152.04
Sold 304.07 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PM——$13.78
Bought 31.31 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.44
- 12:09 PMDIdid-i-ask-for-the-physio$176.00
Bought 400 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.44
- 12:09 PMJIjiffyjoker66888$2.80
Sold 5 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:09 PMADAdelius$933.33
Sold 1666.66 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:09 PMCOCon1trol$2.00
Sold 3.57 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:08 PMM1M123888$10.00
Bought 20.408164 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.49
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Adrian Mannarino 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Miomir Kecmanovic（5%）。該市場總成交量已達 $730.5K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。