Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto

$272.6K Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Guido Justo 100.0%
Pedro Sakamoto 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner 以 9,960% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $272.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto (9,995%):Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $272.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner (9,960%):作為最可行的替代選項,Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner 保持著 9,960% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,960¢。
  • Completed Match (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Completed Match 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.5 (9,950%),以及 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 10.5 (45%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto9995.0%$272.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner9960.0%—9960¢-9860¢
3Completed Match9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.59950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
5Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Pedro Sakamoto in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Pedro Sakamoto.

This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Guido Justo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 1, 2026

  • 12:56 PM
    ——
    $9.52

    Bought 13.7971 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 12:16 PM
    KOKomb
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 12:07 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Under 2.5 for Guido Justo vs. Pedro Sakamoto: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.64

  • 12:03 PM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.24

    Bought 32 Pedro Sakamoto for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.32

  • 11:20 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.538462 Under 2.5 for Guido Justo vs. Pedro Sakamoto: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.65

  • 10:45 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Pedro Sakamoto for Set Handicap: Guido Justo (-1.5) vs Pedro Sakamoto (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 10:44 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Under for Justo vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.59

  • 10:39 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Pedro Sakamoto for Set Handicap: Guido Justo (-1.5) vs Pedro Sakamoto (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 10:37 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $141.45

    Bought 205 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 10:36 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Under for Justo vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.59

  • 10:35 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 10:34 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $2.39

    Bought 3.52 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.68

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$6,459.81
成交量
$53,484.48
持倉數
Pedro Sakamoto
AT2
ATAKAJr.
事件損益
-$5,499.99
成交量
$49,999.95
持倉數
Guido Justo
783
0x78be…bde0
事件損益
+$254.72
成交量
$18,093.75
持倉數
Guido Justo
UP4
UpTheBlues
事件損益
+$2,418.49
成交量
$10,188.40
持倉數
Pedro Sakamoto
GH5
ghostorder
事件損益
-$1,092.57
成交量
$4,937.20
持倉數
Guido Justo
FL6
Flaznorp
事件損益
+$957.83
成交量
$4,823.44
持倉數
Pedro Sakamoto
XP7
XPX0086
事件損益
+$1,044.68
成交量
$4,734.33
持倉數
Pedro Sakamoto
008
0x0079…3749
事件損益
+$1,057.70
成交量
$4,230.77
持倉數
Pedro Sakamoto

常見問題

目前市場對「Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner(9,960%),以及 Completed Match(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $272.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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