Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi

$496.3K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
機率趨勢
Kyrian Jacquet 100.0%
Luciano Darderi 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $496.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi (9,995%):Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $463.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (45%)、Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 22.5 (5%),以及 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 23.5 (5%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Game Spread +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi9995.0%$463.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$1.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner9995.0%$7.4K9995¢-9895¢
4Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 2.545.0%$8945¢55¢
5Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 22.55.0%$3685¢95¢
6Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 23.55.0%$2355¢95¢
7Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Game Spread +/-1.55.0%$1.3K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Luciano Darderi in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Luciano Darderi.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Kyrian Jacquet.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 12:46 AM
    SRsreca
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Luciano Darderi for Set 1 Winner: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.52

  • 12:29 AM
    ADadwz2
    $291.17

    Bought 519.946429 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 12:21 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $1,960.00

    Bought 3500 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 12:18 AM
    ERerickttt
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 12:13 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 Kyrian Jacquet for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.45

Oct 1, 2026

  • 11:57 PM
    0X0x9D39bCDc1CF42d9D0e0623527c75A023b8bd5408-1787431926597
    $180.00

    Bought 400 Kyrian Jacquet for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.45

  • 11:56 PM
    FLflop4o
    $170.00

    Bought 303.571429 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 10:47 PM
    STStingray85000
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 10:45 PM
    KOkokanelo
    $50.00

    Bought 111.111112 Kyrian Jacquet for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.45

  • 10:31 PM
    MAMastergreen
    $11.20

    Bought 20 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    XXXxxX.89
    $2.50

    Bought 4.464286 Luciano Darderi for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.56

  • 10:24 PM
    MAMarcos9818
    $60.00

    Bought 133.333334 Kyrian Jacquet for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi at 0.45

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FA1
fastball67
事件損益
+$33.34
成交量
$11,812.06
持倉數
Kyrian Jacquet
122
1234162
事件損益
-$51.18
成交量
$10,345.78
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
F13
0xf12f…3239
事件損益
-$237.77
成交量
$9,511.11
持倉數
Kyrian Jacquet
FR4
fRibrenlc
事件損益
+$209.09
成交量
$8,363.70
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
DR5
DrStatistics
事件損益
+$0.97
成交量
$3,999.92
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
JA6
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
+$17.50
成交量
$3,500.00
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
997
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
+$28.42
成交量
$3,432.21
持倉數
Kyrian JacquetLuciano Darderi
RN8
RN1
事件損益
+$15.88
成交量
$3,176.19
持倉數
Kyrian Jacquet

常見問題

目前市場對「Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $496.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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