Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth

$84.3K Vol
2026年10月14日
Active
機率趨勢
Hubert Hurkacz 67.5%
James Duckworth 32.5%

核心摘要

根據「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 6,800% 獲勝機率主導市場;Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth 以 6,750% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner 以 6,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $84.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner (6,800%):Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,800¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth (6,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth 保持著 6,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,750¢。
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner (6,600%):以 6,600% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 21.5 (5,950%)、Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 22.5 (5,300%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner6800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth6750.0%$84.5K6750¢-6650¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner6600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 21.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 22.55300.0%$2605300¢-5200¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%$765000¢-4900¢
7Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Completed Match4950.0%$2674950¢-4850¢
9Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
13Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Game Spread +/-3.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
14Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 23.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 10.54000.0%$24000¢-3900¢
16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Total Sets: O/U 2.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against James Duckworth.

This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 6, 2026

  • 12:46 PM
    0X0x1793797BDEDAab854f300cf2b587b98B8c644Ebb-1766156231767
    $10.00

    Bought 14.705881 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:43 PM
    PRPredebon
    $327.00

    Bought 480.882353 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:31 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:21 PM
    VIvif5050
    $27.00

    Bought 39.705881 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:20 PM
    AJAJXgroup
    $17.28

    Bought 25.411765 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:20 PM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:20 PM
    PLPlfr89
    $17.06

    Bought 25.088234 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:10 PM
    AJAJXgroup
    $34.56

    Bought 50.823528 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:10 PM
    TEtestyeagles
    $23.12

    Bought 34 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:05 PM
    DFdfdeath
    $4.76

    Bought 7 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:00 PM
    AJAJXgroup
    $34.56

    Bought 50.823528 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:00 PM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $16.32

    Bought 24 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

OM1
omnibus-076daa
事件損益
+$53.71
成交量
$15,569.83
持倉數
James Duckworth
NO2
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
+$67.45
成交量
$8,725.18
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
YE3
yesmate
事件損益
+$38.50
成交量
$7,700.78
持倉數
James Duckworth
KI4
kingflop
事件損益
+$1.95
成交量
$6,436.77
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
MI5
mindblower
事件損益
-$31.00
成交量
$5,041.00
持倉數
James Duckworth
GA6
Gaditima
事件損益
-$4.71
成交量
$4,923.07
持倉數
Hubert Hurkacz
AS7
astapzippo
事件損益
+$31.87
成交量
$3,456.55
持倉數
James Duckworth
BB8
BBX1GbDS011
事件損益
-$33.73
成交量
$3,413.77
持倉數
James Duckworth

常見問題

目前市場對「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner 以 6,800% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth(6,750%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner(6,600%)。該市場總成交量已達 $84.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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