
Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt
核心摘要
根據「Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Lloyd Harris 以壓倒性的 7,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Alex Bolt 以 3,000% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $172.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Lloyd Harris (7,000%):Lloyd Harris 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Alex Bolt (3,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Alex Bolt 保持著 3,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,000¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lloyd Harris | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 2 | Alex Bolt | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Alex Bolt in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Alex Bolt.
This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Lloyd Harris.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 3, 2026
- 12:39 AMHOhonduraslover$7.92
Bought 9.428568 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84
Oct 2, 2026
- 09:40 PM——$8.00
Bought 9.523806 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84
- 09:38 PM0X0x9b6E8946dC2c6B7c1b05b92fC0Cd4C2176CdE478-1780658713422$5.00
Bought 5.952381 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84
- 09:33 PM0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976$3.22
Bought 3.833331 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84
- 09:20 PM0X0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755$1.23
Sold 7.71 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16
- 09:09 PMOMomnibus-076daa$41.30
Bought 242.941177 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17
- 09:08 PMPRprofitlaw$1.00
Bought 5.882353 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17
- 08:55 PMSTStefnc$20.00
Bought 28.571426 Under 2.5 for Lloyd Harris vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.7
- 08:49 PM——$16.00
Bought 100 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16
- 08:49 PM——$20.00
Bought 125 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16
- 07:57 PM——$137.38
Bought 808.117059 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17
- 07:26 PMKOKOVSAN$1.00
Bought 1.176466 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.85
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Lloyd Harris 以 7,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Alex Bolt(3,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $172.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
