US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo

$55K Vol
2026年9月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Taylor Fritz 86.5%
Francisco Cerundolo 13.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo 以壓倒性的 8,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 以 7,450% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo (8,650%):US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $56.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner (7,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 保持著 7,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,450¢。
  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,150%)、US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner (7,100%),以及 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner (7,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo8650.0%$56.1K8650¢-8550¢
2US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
3US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.57250.0%$727250¢-7150¢
4US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.57150.0%7150¢-7050¢
5US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner7100.0%7100¢-7000¢
6US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
7US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
8US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.55150.0%$3195150¢-5050¢
9US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.54650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
22US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
23US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
24US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
25US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Francisco Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Taylor Fritz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:21 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $27.04

    Bought 52 Over 3.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.52

  • 09:20 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $30.00

    Bought 200 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

  • 09:09 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 66.666665 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

  • 08:56 AM
    ZEZeljko
    $400.00

    Bought 465.116278 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:56 AM
    ZEZeljko
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1162.790696 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:45 AM
    JOJohn-Riley
    $30.00

    Bought 34.883714 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:35 AM
    JOJohn-Riley
    $29.91

    Bought 58.653845 Over 3.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:06 AM
    EMemoney
    $300.00

    Bought 638.297871 Fritz for Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.162785 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:03 AM
    NJnjhfygt
    $3.00

    Bought 3.488371 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:02 AM
    THThiruvilayadal
    $103.32

    Bought 120.14 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.54

    Bought 10.266665 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

IS1
Israel10
事件損益
-$47.49
成交量
$9,500.07
持倉數
Francisco Cerundolo
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
事件損益
+$29.41
成交量
$5,882.35
持倉數
Taylor Fritz
PL3
pltrkr111
事件損益
+$11.76
成交量
$2,352.94
持倉數
Taylor Fritz
HO4
Hoch
事件損益
-$5.88
成交量
$1,176.47
持倉數
Taylor Fritz
LI5
Lilybaeum
事件損益
+$5.69
成交量
$1,137.67
持倉數
Francisco Cerundolo
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$5.61
成交量
$1,122.05
持倉數
Taylor Fritz
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$6.38
成交量
$1,025.47
持倉數
Cerundolo
LI8
LiquidatedDegen
事件損益
-$4.69
成交量
$937.50
持倉數
Francisco Cerundolo

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo 以 8,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner(7,450%),以及 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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