
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
核心摘要
根據「Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,255% 獲勝機率主導市場;Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 以 850% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $363.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Completed Match (5,255%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,255¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.8K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (850%):以 850% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 5255.0% | $5.8K | 5255¢ | -5155¢ |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 850.0% | $353.5K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.
This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Liam Draxl.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 6, 2026
- 01:09 AMSHshadowMacMini2$5.00
Bought 11.62 Liam Draxl for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.43
- 01:08 AM0X0xd6e8a0a4bB5C54922bf881fC9A39970B6898B293-1772367214777$200.00
Bought 344.827585 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 01:02 AMEPepistemic$58.00
Bought 100 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 12:48 AMMAMaverick.T$15.00
Bought 25.862069 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 12:06 AMCBCbrojasg$10.00
Bought 17.24138 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
Oct 5, 2026
- 09:56 PMWAWarehouse.$49.00
Bought 84.482759 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 09:50 PM0X0xcBeF04deaD0a5D75B28D2bb4EF149A222da10C11-1775060445677$300.00
Bought 517.24138 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 09:32 PM0X0xB075971936F037B2e1355446AE48F8E1E7A0DE2c-1775145812259$1.00
Bought 2.325582 Liam Draxl for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.43
- 09:26 PMXYxyoun99$16.66
Bought 28.724138 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 09:26 PMNOnobody1401$4.00
Bought 6.896552 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 09:26 PM0X0xA867eB58228A4625e2eD57C87b550545356e71ab-1772276393192$8.33
Bought 14.362069 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
- 09:26 PMM4m4yconn$5.72
Bought 9.862069 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,255% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5(5,000%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili(850%)。該市場總成交量已達 $363.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
