
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz
核心摘要
根據「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 9,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 以 7,400% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz 以 6,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $95.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,400%):Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 (7,400%):作為最可行的替代選項,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 保持著 7,400% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,400¢。
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz (6,450%):以 6,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5 (6,150%)、Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner (6,050%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner (6,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 9400.0% | — | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | 6450.0% | $92.6K | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5 | 6150.0% | $44 | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner | 6050.0% | $237 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 7 | Completed Match | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-1.5 | 5550.0% | $3.6K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 | 5150.0% | $474 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4150.0% | $39 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4050.0% | $13 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Hubert Hurkacz.
This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Novak Djokovic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 9, 2026
- 01:58 AMOMomnibus-076daa$6.17
Bought 10.114753 Hubert Hurkacz for Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic (-1.5) vs Hubert Hurkacz (+1.5) at 0.61
- 01:50 AM——$9.16
Bought 25.44 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.36
- 01:01 AMUSuser0000000$1.30
Bought 2 Over for Djokovic vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.65
- 12:58 AM——$19.35
Bought 32.25 Novak Djokovic for Set 1 Winner: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.6
- 12:57 AMLTlthasd$59.00
Bought 100 Novak Djokovic for Set 1 Winner: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.59
- 12:25 AMSHShblooz$2.00
Bought 3.076922 Novak Djokovic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.65
Oct 8, 2026
- 11:51 PMPRprofitlaw$1.44
Sold 4.11 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.35
- 11:40 PM0X0x2346E91FEaDaa96f1eA5505d4A6a0AEd78e3793c-1767698481321$1.08
Bought 1.661537 Novak Djokovic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.65
- 11:32 PMUMumalytic$55.98
Bought 155.5 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.36
- 11:17 PMPRprofitlaw$1.48
Bought 4.111112 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.36
- 11:16 PMHEHettore$10.00
Bought 15.384614 Novak Djokovic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.65
- 11:15 PM00000brokie000$300.00
Bought 461.538462 Novak Djokovic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.65
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5(7,400%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz(6,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $95.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
