US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

$46.8K Vol
2026年9月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Luciano Darderi 76.5%
Dane Sweeny 23.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,850% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner 以 6,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $46.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny (7,550%):US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $46.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持著 6,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,850¢。
  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner (6,750%):以 6,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner (6,700%)、US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner (6,550%),以及 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny7550.0%$46.1K7550¢-7450¢
2US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
3US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
5US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner6550.0%6550¢-6450¢
6US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.56250.0%$2506250¢-6150¢
7US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 3.55700.0%$6565700¢-5600¢
8US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 9.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
20US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 36.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 38.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
22US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Game Spread +/-7.53850.0%$1313850¢-3750¢
23US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 40.53800.0%$833800¢-3700¢
24US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-2.53650.0%$5463650¢-3550¢
25US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 10.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
26US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 4.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Dane Sweeny in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Dane Sweeny.

This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Luciano Darderi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 41.666665 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:36 AM
    W1W1zard0
    $5.00

    Bought 8.620688 Over 3.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.58

  • 08:35 AM
    W1W1zard0
    $5.00

    Bought 20.833332 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:33 AM
    PEpeepk0ck
    $5.00

    Bought 6.49 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.77

  • 08:31 AM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 6.493504 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.77

  • 08:31 AM
    $2.40

    Bought 10 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:31 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $7,395.96

    Bought 9731.53 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.76

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.54

    Bought 6.16 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.25

  • 07:28 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.80

    Bought 4.864863 Darderi for Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 07:26 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.80

    Bought 4.090908 Under 3.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.44

  • 07:25 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $2.50

    Bought 4.032257 Darderi for Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 07:15 AM
    PGpgktrio2
    $5.00

    Sold 6.66 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.75

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AV1
AV23IUa
事件損益
+$5,127.89
成交量
$20,930.15
持倉數
Dane Sweeny
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$48.67
成交量
$9,731.53
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
0X3
0x0x23…h8c9
事件損益
+$4,967.10
成交量
$6,578.94
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
SE4
sentrio
事件損益
+$3.48
成交量
$4,560.93
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
325
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
+$3,028.04
成交量
$4,010.65
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
076
0x076d…8d4c
事件損益
+$57.13
成交量
$3,313.02
持倉數
Dane SweenyDarderi
AG7
AGUGava
事件損益
-$12.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持倉數
Luciano Darderi
AL8
alm19911
事件損益
+$8.47
成交量
$1,692.95
持倉數
Dane Sweeny

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,850%),以及 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner(6,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $46.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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