Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud

$235.5K Vol
2026年10月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Casper Ruud 77.5%
Yunchaokete Bu 22.5%

核心摘要

根據「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 9,745% 獲勝機率主導市場;Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 以 8,200% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 5,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $235.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (9,745%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,745¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $934 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 (8,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 保持著 8,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,200¢。
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,200%):以 5,200% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 (5,050%)、Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9745.0%$9349745¢-9645¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.58200.0%$4738200¢-8100¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.55200.0%$9.4K5200¢-5100¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.55050.0%$1705050¢-4950¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$755000¢-4900¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.55000.0%$1965000¢-4900¢
10Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner4100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.53800.0%$2.0K3800¢-3700¢
12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud1850.0%$222.2K1850¢-1750¢
13Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner5.0%—5¢95¢
14Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Yunchaokete Bu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 01:25 AM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5.555556 Casper Ruud for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.54

  • 01:25 AM
    EVEVhunter69
    $3,321.67

    Bought 6151.234445 Casper Ruud for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.54

  • 01:19 AM
    LIlimitless00
    $75.15

    Bought 159.89 Yunchaokete Bu for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.47

  • 01:14 AM
    ENEndeverafter
    $100.00

    Bought 188.679246 Yunchaokete Bu for Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Yunchaokete Bu (+1.5) at 0.53

  • 01:14 AM
    ENEndeverafter
    $100.00

    Bought 212.765958 Yunchaokete Bu for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.47

  • 01:13 AM
    0X0x62017Eb6f53F36ee542446316aFDF76e12Ed622c-1776130203489
    $65.00

    Bought 120.370371 Casper Ruud for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.54

  • 01:07 AM
    NInigiri99
    $37.13

    Bought 79 Yunchaokete Bu for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.47

  • 01:00 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.17

    Bought 11 Yunchaokete Bu for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.47

  • 12:42 AM
    SHShoveIsAllYouNeed
    $80.00

    Bought 170.212766 Yunchaokete Bu for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.47

  • 12:28 AM
    KOKomb
    $1.95

    Bought 3.61111 Casper Ruud for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.54

  • 12:25 AM
    FRFranxTY
    $1.12

    Bought 2.382979 Yunchaokete Bu for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.47

  • 12:25 AM
    GOGota0
    $12.00

    Bought 22.222223 Casper Ruud for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$639.66
成交量
$12,592.03
持倉數
Yunchaokete Bu
ID2
Idontwantausername
事件損益
-$579.36
成交量
$9,139.53
持倉數
Casper Ruud
323
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
-$416.62
成交量
$8,745.45
持倉數
Casper Ruud
OM4
omnibus-076daa
事件損益
+$455.12
成交量
$7,001.80
持倉數
Yunchaokete Bu
EV5
EVhunter69
事件損益
-$316.65
成交量
$6,151.23
持倉數
Casper Ruud
F76
0xf7e3…4350
事件損益
+$30.22
成交量
$6,043.68
持倉數
Yunchaokete Bu
RO7
roginarun
事件損益
-$57.90
成交量
$3,860.00
持倉數
Casper Ruud
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$59.61
成交量
$3,588.49
持倉數
Casper RuudOverCasper Ruud

常見問題

目前市場對「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,745% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5(8,200%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5(5,200%)。該市場總成交量已達 $235.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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