Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego

$216.7K Vol
2026年10月2日
Active
機率趨勢
Lorenzo Sonego 78.5%
Jenson Brooksby 21.5%

核心摘要

根據「Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 以 6,300% 位居第二,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 以 5,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $216.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%):Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 (6,300%):作為最可行的替代選項,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 保持著 6,300% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,300¢。
  • Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 (5,800%):以 5,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Completed Match (5,000%)、Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.56300.0%$76300¢-6200¢
3Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.55800.0%$3625800¢-5700¢
4Completed Match5000.0%$5365000¢-4900¢
5Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 22.55000.0%$3545000¢-4900¢
9Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 2.54450.0%$3454450¢-4350¢
10Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner4250.0%$1524250¢-4150¢
11Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego2550.0%$228.7K2550¢-2450¢
12Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
13Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 Winner5.0%$3.6K5¢95¢
14Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$15.3K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Lorenzo Sonego.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jenson Brooksby.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 25, 2026

  • 12:04 AM
    OCOctavian8
    $100.00

    Bought 204.081633 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49

  • 12:04 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.846154 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 12:04 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

Sep 24, 2026

  • 11:51 PM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $7.80

    Bought 15 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 11:46 PM
    0X0xd2150fc422E8313Bdf2527c92FDB957fE42A757A-1782777074064
    $30.41

    Bought 58.48077 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
    $4.88

    Bought 9.384616 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 11:13 PM
    BLblazedbunny
    $25.00

    Bought 51.020409 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49

  • 10:43 PM
    PHphorma
    $735.80

    Bought 1415 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 10:37 PM
    MAMarcos9818
    $50.00

    Bought 96.153847 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 10:11 PM
    HOhobo69
    $392.00

    Bought 800 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49

  • 10:00 PM
    RERedLightFtw
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52

  • 10:00 PM
    NInigiri99
    $101.92

    Bought 208 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
事件損益
-$31.94
成交量
$23,759.00
持倉數
Lorenzo SonegoOver
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$9.30
成交量
$7,370.75
持倉數
Jenson BrooksbyUnder
323
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
+$34.33
成交量
$6,865.82
持倉數
Jenson Brooksby
GC4
GC-P
事件損益
+$0.00
成交量
$3,500.00
持倉數
Jenson Brooksby
NM5
NM-P
事件損益
-$1.19
成交量
$2,478.22
持倉數
Jenson Brooksby
DR6
DrStatistics
事件損益
+$10.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Jenson Brooksby
PH7
phorma
事件損益
-$7.08
成交量
$1,415.00
持倉數
Jenson Brooksby
SH8
shaw
事件損益
+$5.00
成交量
$999.99
持倉數
Lorenzo Sonego

常見問題

目前市場對「Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5(6,300%),以及 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5(5,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $216.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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