Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

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2026年10月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Jenson Brooksby 55.0%
Nikoloz Basilashvili 45.0%

核心摘要

根據「Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 以壓倒性的 5,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (5,500%):Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
2Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.

This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jenson Brooksby.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 以 5,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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