Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler

$103.6K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Felix Balshaw 54.0%
Joel Schwaerzler 46.0%

核心摘要

根據「Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler 以壓倒性的 5,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $103.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler (5,550%):Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $96.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)、Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler5550.0%$96.3K5550¢-5450¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$8.0K5000¢-4900¢
3Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Joel Schwaerzler in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Joel Schwaerzler.

This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Felix Balshaw.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:59 AM
    XUXuinto
    $98.90

    Sold 247.24 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x311CD6e45180D75cD312eE2EbC66b0603A4c3fD9-1775570975323
    $2.90

    Sold 5 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.58

  • 11:57 AM
    SNSnezhnyDemon
    $18.30

    Sold 45.76 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:51 AM
    0X0xa54dE3eb0aEebe109eaE42f9501A98EA6B78DEB8-1773187721162
    $104.23

    Sold 254.23 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:50 AM
    ——
    $10.75

    Sold 18.86 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.57

  • 11:50 AM
    RERefaelnadal
    $1,085.96

    Sold 1939.22 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.56

  • 11:49 AM
    BIBigwinfinn
    $57.87

    Sold 144.68 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:48 AM
    0X0x925499a29Eb472668E9f546ad20208E4feACC448-1772522193672
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:48 AM
    1919990930
    $300.00

    Bought 731.707318 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.20

    Bought 7 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.6

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $22.99

    Bought 56.060976 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

XA1
xabidaking
事件損益
+$603.00
成交量
$24,902.19
持倉數
Joel Schwaerzler
F12
0xf12f…3239
事件損益
+$2,356.97
成交量
$9,363.82
持倉數
Felix Balshaw
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$400.62
成交量
$7,941.19
持倉數
Felix Balshaw
RN4
RN1
事件損益
-$165.32
成交量
$2,895.38
持倉數
Felix Balshaw
RE5
Refaelnadal
事件損益
+$358.76
成交量
$1,939.22
持倉數
Felix Balshaw
AV6
avotrade
事件損益
+$454.79
成交量
$1,877.00
持倉數
Felix Balshaw
327
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
-$50.03
成交量
$1,861.65
持倉數
Felix Balshaw
GH8
ghostorder
事件損益
-$41.25
成交量
$1,650.00
持倉數
Felix Balshaw

常見問題

目前市場對「Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler 以 5,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $103.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始