Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka

$159K Vol
2026年10月13日
Active
機率趨勢
Carlos Alcaraz 76.5%
Jiri Lehecka 23.5%

核心摘要

根據「Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,750% 獲勝機率主導市場;Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 以 7,550% 位居第二,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner 以 7,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $159K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,750%):Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,750¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka (7,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 保持著 7,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,550¢。
  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner (7,050%):以 7,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner (6,900%)、Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,650%),以及 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 21.5 (5,550%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
2Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka7550.0%$121.3K7550¢-7450¢
3Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner7050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
4Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner6900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
5Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Game Spread +/-3.55650.0%$22.0K5650¢-5550¢
6Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 21.55550.0%$1.5K5550¢-5450¢
7Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 9.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
8Completed Match5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
9Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$3.5K5050¢-4950¢
10Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
11Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
12Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
13Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 22.54650.0%$6294650¢-4550¢
14Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 23.54150.0%$664150¢-4050¢
15Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Total Sets: O/U 2.53700.0%$403700¢-3600¢
16Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 10.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jiri Lehecka in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Jiri Lehecka.

This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Carlos Alcaraz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:21 AM
    ——
    $29.36

    Bought 38.129869 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.77

  • 12:49 AM
    PApatrickpsf
    $5.00

    Bought 6.493504 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.77

  • 12:31 AM
    0X0x2346E91FEaDaa96f1eA5505d4A6a0AEd78e3793c-1767698481321
    $1.21

    Bought 5.041667 Jiri Lehecka for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.24

  • 12:29 AM
    GEgetfee-s1
    $3.85

    Bought 5 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.77

  • 12:24 AM
    ——
    $500.00

    Bought 649.350647 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.77

  • 12:18 AM
    GTgtenderman
    $6.16

    Bought 8 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.77

  • 12:17 AM
    ——
    $14.55

    Sold 63.26 Jiri Lehecka for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.23

  • 12:17 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $2,415.29

    Bought 10501.25 Jiri Lehecka for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.23

  • 12:15 AM
    EPepistemic
    $23.00

    Bought 100 Jiri Lehecka for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.23

  • 12:12 AM
    ——
    $3.92

    Bought 5.02564 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.78

  • 12:12 AM
    KWKwadoctor
    $546.00

    Bought 700 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.78

  • 12:11 AM
    1B1bertojosp
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Carlos Alcaraz for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.78

常見問題

目前市場對「Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,750% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka(7,550%),以及 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner(7,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $159K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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