Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas

2026年10月2日
Active
機率趨勢
Joaquin Aguilar 59.5%
Juan Pablo Varillas 40.5%

核心摘要

根據「Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas 以壓倒性的 5,850% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas (5,850%):Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,850¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Juan Pablo Varillas.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Joaquin Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas 以 5,850% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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