US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

$192.1K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
概率趋势
Elena Rybakina 73.5%
Qinwen Zheng 26.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,500% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 以 5,350% 位居第二,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 以 5,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $192.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,500%):US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 (5,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 保持着 5,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,350¢。
  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,350%):以 5,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,150%)、US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
2US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.55350.0%$955350¢-5250¢
3US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.55350.0%$3.2K5350¢-5250¢
4US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Completed Match4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.54850.0%$28.3K4850¢-4750¢
10US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.54650.0%$1234650¢-4550¢
11US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.54150.0%$3854150¢-4050¢
12US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$7703800¢-3700¢
13US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
14US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner3250.0%$413250¢-3150¢
15US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
16US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina2650.0%$159.2K2650¢-2550¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Elena Rybakina.

This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Qinwen Zheng.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 9, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    $45.23

    Bought 92.306123 Rybakina for Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:13 AM
    ROronaldooo
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Rybakina for Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:10 AM
    AJajksbdlykwj
    $1.00

    Sold 3.7 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.27

  • 11:09 AM
    PIpirl
    $1.07

    Bought 1.465751 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:09 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.46

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:09 AM
    JEJerryyy2026
    $28.74

    Bought 102.642858 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.28

  • 11:08 AM
    ISisco23
    $5,704.26

    Bought 7814.06 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:01 AM
    DADanshan11
    $2.10

    Bought 3.44 Under 2.5 for Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 11:00 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.46

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:00 AM
    SUsuntori
    $28.57

    Bought 102.035715 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.28

  • 10:59 AM
    ZHzhao0
    $1.62

    Sold 6 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.27

  • 10:57 AM
    $146.34

    Bought 243.9 Under for Zheng vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.6

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

WI1
0xwise
事件盈亏
-$693.15
成交量
$70,512.25
持仓数
Qinwen Zheng
HE2
HectorHuang
事件盈亏
-$148.69
成交量
$24,241.91
持仓数
Zheng
JU3
JustADonk
事件盈亏
-$37.01
成交量
$21,402.99
持仓数
Elena RybakinaRybakinaRybakina
MO4
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
+$125.65
成交量
$19,999.82
持仓数
Elena Rybakina
BR5
Brimoz
事件盈亏
-$181.00
成交量
$17,933.12
持仓数
Qinwen Zheng
NO6
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
+$114.23
成交量
$16,999.00
持仓数
Elena RybakinaRybakina
GA7
gagarin59
事件盈亏
+$16.55
成交量
$16,567.85
持仓数
Qinwen ZhengZheng
998
0x99F0…6382
事件盈亏
+$63.82
成交量
$13,559.66
持仓数
Rybakina

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5(5,350%),以及 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5(5,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $192.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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