Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson
核心摘要
根据「Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Laura Samson 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场；Anastasiia Sobolieva 以 45% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $199.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Laura Samson (9,955%)：Laura Samson 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Anastasiia Sobolieva (45%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Anastasiia Sobolieva 保持着 45% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 45¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laura Samson | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 2 | Anastasiia Sobolieva | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Sobolieva and Laura Samson in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Laura Samson.
This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 17, 2026
- 10:21 PMFOFoolingAround$55.00
Bought 100 Laura Samson for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.55
- 10:17 PM0X0x949A26cC421829f58b2f8F71aA663ccC219e748b-1778142974573$3.00
Bought 5.454546 Laura Samson for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.55
- 09:41 PMHEheyboy800$300.00
Bought 652.173914 Anastasiia Sobolieva for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.46
- 09:25 PMNInigiri99$388.70
Bought 845 Anastasiia Sobolieva for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.46
- 09:21 PM0X0x38e5f752b2De73367818F826cfFa491296DBb70D-1782568940710$35.00
Bought 63.636364 Laura Samson for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.55
- 09:09 PM——$4.91
Sold 9.09 Laura Samson for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.54
- 08:33 PMPEpeterle1967$15.00
Bought 27.272728 Laura Samson for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.55
- 07:54 PMNEneutralwave23$9.28
Bought 16.872728 Laura Samson for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.55
- 07:10 PMCAcapflip369$37.58
Sold 83.52 Anastasiia Sobolieva for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.45
- 06:36 PMARarcher111$2.93
Bought 6.38 Anastasiia Sobolieva for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.46
- 06:35 PM0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187$34.97
Bought 76.02 Anastasiia Sobolieva for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.46
- 06:28 PMDUduhinstrategy$19.56
Sold 43.47 Anastasiia Sobolieva for Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson at 0.45
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Laura Samson 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Anastasiia Sobolieva（45%）。该市场总成交量已达 $199.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。