
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang
核心摘要
根据「Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 以 6,600% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $325.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 (6,600%):以 6,600% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Completed Match (5,400%)、Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 (5,400%),以及 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 | 6600.0% | $3.5K | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 4 | Completed Match | 5400.0% | $225 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 5 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 6 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5000.0% | $5.7K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 23.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 12 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4450.0% | $2.7K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 13 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner | 4400.0% | $454 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4100.0% | $426 | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 15 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 16 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang | 2950.0% | $312.4K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Xiyu Wang in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Xiyu Wang.
This market will resolve to 'Xiyu Wang' if Xiyu Wang advances against Mia Pohankova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 13, 2026
- 01:15 PMDOdonna91-313$107.86
Bought 110.0612 Yes for Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.98
- 01:15 PMCHChungChung1$12.30
Sold 30 Mia Pohankova for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.41
- 01:13 PMIMimbadatdis9$6.00
Bought 10.909091 Xiyu Wang for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.55
- 01:12 PMWTwtylyjwyz$57.25
Bought 114.49 Mia Pohankova for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.5
- 01:10 PMCHchaeri$2.68
Bought 7.67 Xiyu Wang for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.35
- 01:09 PMBTBTUFCT$10.00
Bought 17.857143 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.56
- 01:09 PMBTBTUFCT$17.64
Sold 39.21 Mia Pohankova for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.45
- 01:09 PMMAmatthsf$3.00
Sold 5.55 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.54
- 01:09 PMJTjtwyslljy$1,312.81
Bought 2431.13 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.54
- 01:09 PMMAmatthsf$10.00
Sold 18.86 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.53
- 01:08 PMIVIvolama$99.00
Bought 186.792453 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.53
- 01:08 PM0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154$4.46
Bought 8.415095 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.53
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5(9,950%),以及 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5(6,600%)。该市场总成交量已达 $325.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
