
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova
核心摘要
根据「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $628K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova (9,995%):China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $621.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Completed Match (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova | 9995.0% | $621.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $484 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 | 5.0% | $1.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Liudmila Samsonova.
This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Karolina Muchova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 4, 2026
- 12:02 PMALAlert-Halving$36.40
Bought 46.666663 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:55 AMRAratte$4.88
Bought 6.25 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:53 AMFEfewios$60.00
Bought 76.923077 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:41 AMSNsnooze$2.25
Bought 5 Liudmila Samsonova for Set Handicap: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Liudmila Samsonova (+1.5) at 0.45
- 11:04 AMALAlice-In-Wonder-Land$20.00
Bought 25.641022 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:56 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:49 AM1B1bertojosp$4.00
Bought 5.128204 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:48 AMLAlai80$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:46 AMGRgrepxd3$11.00
Bought 50 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 10:35 AM——$4.00
Bought 17.391305 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 10:32 AM——$4.00
Bought 17.391305 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 10:32 AMALAlvurdi$40.00
Bought 50.632909 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $628K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
