China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova

$80.3K Vol
2026年10月15日
Active
概率趋势
Karolina Muchova 70.5%
Nikola Bartunkova 29.5%

核心摘要

根据「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova 以压倒性的 7,050% 获胜概率主导市场;China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,900% 位居第二,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner 以 6,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $80.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova (7,050%):China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $78.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持着 6,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,900¢。
  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner (6,500%):以 6,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner (6,450%)、China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,350%),以及 Completed Match (5,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova7050.0%$78.9K7050¢-6950¢
2China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
3China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner6500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
4China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner6450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
5China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Game Spread +/-3.55350.0%$2735350¢-5250¢
6Completed Match5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
7China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.55050.0%$9245050¢-4950¢
8China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set Handicap +/-1.54750.0%$4024750¢-4650¢
12China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 9.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
13China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 22.54300.0%$104300¢-4200¢
14China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
15China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Total Sets: O/U 2.53650.0%$1113650¢-3550¢
16China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 10.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Nikola Bartunkova.

This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Karolina Muchova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:24 AM
    CHcharnoz31
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.71

  • 01:22 AM
    ISisco23
    $7,881.00

    Bought 11100 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.71

  • 01:20 AM
    0X0xE4cE7E5dbc0e6746b06F8Be8B883f2DbDDeE7f8D-1780247072295
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.7

  • 01:01 AM
    FUfullt
    $1.55

    Bought 5 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 12:42 AM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 64.51613 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 12:29 AM
    GLglnk
    $26.00

    Bought 70.270271 Over 2.5 for Karolina Muchova vs. Nikola Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.37

Oct 7, 2026

  • 11:48 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $51.38

    Bought 73.4 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.7

  • 11:12 PM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.7

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0xwise
    $8.74

    Bought 28.193549 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0xwise
    $1,048.96

    Bought 3383.741936 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 11:05 PM
    0X0xwise
    $2,939.94

    Bought 9799.8 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.3

  • 10:57 PM
    CLclintondekoning
    $10.00

    Bought 33.333334 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.3

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KK1
Kkunn
事件盈亏
-$457.56
成交量
$30,508.92
持仓数
Nikola Bartunkova
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$0.88
成交量
$16,246.58
持仓数
Karolina Muchova
WI3
0xwise
事件盈亏
-$100.17
成交量
$13,211.74
持仓数
Nikola Bartunkova
IS4
isco23
事件盈亏
-$53.91
成交量
$11,100.00
持仓数
Karolina Muchova
MO5
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
-$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Nikola Bartunkova
2C6
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$118.55
成交量
$7,902.74
持仓数
Karolina Muchova
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
+$108.70
成交量
$7,246.37
持仓数
Karolina Muchova
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
+$3.66
成交量
$6,513.25
持仓数
Nikola BartunkovaOver

常见问题

当前市场对「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova 以 7,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,900%),以及 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner(6,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $80.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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