Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend

$166.6K Vol
2026年9月23日
Active
概率趋势
Marta Kostyuk 50.5%
Taylor Townsend 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner 以 5,050% 位居第二,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 4,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $166.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend (5,050%):Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $132.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
  • Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (4,950%):以 4,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%),以及 Completed Match (400%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend5050.0%$132.9K5050¢-4950¢
2Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner5050.0%$2.8K5050¢-4950¢
3Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.54950.0%$2.8K4950¢-4850¢
4Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$5.0K4950¢-4850¢
5Completed Match400.0%$323400¢-300¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Taylor Townsend.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Marta Kostyuk.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 16, 2026

  • 09:05 AM
    LYLynchCity
    $40.00

    Bought 54.794521 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 08:52 AM
    JOjoy67
    $3.42

    Bought 12.214286 Taylor Townsend for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.28

  • 08:40 AM
    FOfORZEN
    $14.60

    Bought 20 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 08:31 AM
    HOhobo69
    $570.00

    Bought 1000 Taylor Townsend for Game Spread: Marta Kostyuk (-4.5) vs Taylor Townsend (+4.5) at 0.57

  • 08:29 AM
    MSmscjava
    $2.50

    Bought 6.756757 Over 2.5 for Marta Kostyuk vs. Taylor Townsend: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 08:21 AM
    LUluckybanks
    $795.99

    Bought 1090.397261 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 07:50 AM
    KWkwinto1
    $97.08

    Bought 194.16 Marta Kostyuk for Set Handicap: Marta Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Taylor Townsend (+1.5) at 0.5

  • 07:33 AM
    MEMelon91
    $350.00

    Bought 479.452055 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 07:26 AM
    MAmaxbod
    $7.30

    Bought 10 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 07:05 AM
    $100.00

    Bought 136.986302 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 06:41 AM
    MSmscjava
    $20.00

    Bought 27.397261 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

  • 04:59 AM
    GAGaditima
    $140.16

    Bought 192 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend at 0.73

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

D41
0xd485…6E57
事件盈亏
+$3,722.74
成交量
$69,130.13
持仓数
Taylor Townsend
9B2
0x9b11…5375
事件盈亏
-$559.51
成交量
$36,157.00
持仓数
Marta Kostyuk
MR3
MrClaude11
事件盈亏
+$4,857.72
成交量
$29,232.17
持仓数
Taylor TownsendMarta KostyukOver 2.5+1
DV4
dv-pm
事件盈亏
-$45.84
成交量
$21,345.35
持仓数
Taylor TownsendMarta Kostyuk
385
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$1,835.50
成交量
$14,557.48
持仓数
Marta Kostyuk
AT6
atuuuuun
事件盈亏
+$2,698.33
成交量
$13,938.89
持仓数
Taylor Townsend
657
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$1,549.99
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Marta Kostyuk
KI8
kingflop
事件盈亏
-$1,560.00
成交量
$8,000.00
持仓数
Marta Kostyuk

常见问题

当前市场对「Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner(5,050%),以及 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5(4,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $166.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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