
Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova
核心摘要
根据「Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 以 9,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $407.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $72 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 (9,850%):以 9,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 (9,850%)、Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova (7,850%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $72 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 | 9950.0% | $123 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 | 9850.0% | $49 | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 4 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 | 9850.0% | $5 | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 5 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova | 7850.0% | $355.2K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $3.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 | 45.0% | $18.8K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 8 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner | 5.0% | $119 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 9 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 10 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 11 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $24.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Liudmila Samsonova.
This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Marta Kostyuk.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 17, 2026
- 11:35 PMDRDrbogus$29.67
Bought 41.788731 Marta Kostyuk for Set 1 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.71
- 11:32 PMRAramatzo$1.00
Bought 4.545455 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 11:31 PMRAramatzo$1.00
Bought 4.545455 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 11:30 PM——$10.00
Bought 12.658228 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
- 11:26 PM——$50.00
Bought 63.291138 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
- 11:23 PMSPspiced$14.13
Bought 18.12 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:22 PMPApaisa$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:18 PMREReskay$60.30
Bought 118.235295 Under for Kostyuk vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.51
- 11:18 PMMAManiaxj$151.96
Bought 194.820513 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:17 PM0X0x4132070d75f124A5F2A4d13Ec0A4497DeE6BA5a5-1723503232987$500.00
Bought 2173.913044 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 11:16 PMELElpadrino99946$38.72
Bought 168.347827 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 11:15 PMKEken5$200.00
Bought 256.410254 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5(9,950%),以及 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5(9,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $407.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
