
China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi
核心摘要
根据「China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Game Spread +/-2.5 以 50% 位居第二,China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $579.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $600 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Game Spread +/-2.5 (50%):作为最可行的替代选项,China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Game Spread +/-2.5 保持着 50% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 50¢。
- China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $600 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 3 | China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi | 5.0% | $571.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Han Shi in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Han Shi.
This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Elvina Kalieva.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 28, 2026
- 11:38 PMRORO2yzDVl$2.58
Sold 6 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.43
- 11:09 PMSUsuntori$2.76
Bought 4.842106 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57
- 11:04 PMCBCbrojasg$7.00
Bought 12.280702 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57
- 10:43 PMJEJeanp2111$2.20
Bought 5 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.44
- 10:32 PM0X0x036a8f363900E5fD9850038252Da14445ddE14Ac-1779841665745$7.00
Bought 12.280702 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57
- 10:30 PMPGpgktrio2$3.99
Bought 9.068182 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.44
- 10:11 PMANAndre0o$17.16
Bought 39 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.44
- 10:04 PM8888M$2,912.62
Bought 5109.86 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57
- 10:04 PM——$9.80
Bought 17.192983 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57
- 10:01 PMPApaulaoofc$97.32
Bought 216.27 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.45
- 09:43 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$1.87
Bought 4.155556 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.45
- 09:32 PMASAsikins$1.00
Bought 2.222223 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.45
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Game Spread +/-2.5(50%),以及 China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $579.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
