Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces

$169.2K Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
概率趋势
Las Vegas Aces 93.5%
Seattle Storm 6.5%

核心摘要

根据「Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -15.5 以压倒性的 5,850% 获胜概率主导市场;Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 以 5,650% 位居第二,Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 以 5,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $169.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -15.5 (5,850%):Spread -15.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $23.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 (5,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 保持着 5,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,650¢。
  • Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,500%):以 5,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -16.5 (5,350%)、O/U 176.5 (5,250%),以及 Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -15.55850.0%$23.6K5850¢-5750¢
2Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
3Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
4Spread -16.55350.0%$85.1K5350¢-5250¢
5O/U 176.55250.0%$29.2K5250¢-5150¢
6Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.54850.0%$374850¢-4750¢
8Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 15.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
9Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 10.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
10Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
11Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
12A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
13A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
14Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
15Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
16Awa Fam: Points O/U 10.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
17Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
18Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 15.53850.0%$23850¢-3750¢
19A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
20Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
21Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
22Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces650.0%$40.3K650¢-550¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 20 at 9:00PM ET:

If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 20, 2026

  • 11:40 PM
    DODonnieDarko73253
    $39.45

    Bought 85.77 Seattle Storm for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.46

  • 11:37 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $70.95

    Bought 129 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.55

  • 11:18 PM
    DUdudu123456
    $3.00

    Bought 5.454546 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.55

  • 11:09 PM
    GEgebilaowang888888
    $19.89

    Bought 39 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.51

  • 11:09 PM
    NInigiri99
    $135.00

    Bought 270 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 11:09 PM
    NInigiri99
    $132.30

    Bought 270 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.49

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0xcB672d170975Bd43e9438131088b840d7Cba20DD-1781697165149
    $1.26

    Bought 2.571429 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.49

  • 11:08 PM
    FNfnaot
    $4.00

    Bought 7.692308 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.52

  • 11:08 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $28.05

    Bought 51 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.55

  • 11:07 PM
    NInigiri99
    $114.66

    Bought 234 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.49

  • 11:07 PM
    NInigiri99
    $90.65

    Bought 185 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.49

  • 11:07 PM
    $2.89

    Bought 5.557693 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$3,663.14
成交量
$11,996.05
持仓数
Seattle StormUnderSeattle Storm
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$1,455.21
成交量
$10,696.09
持仓数
OverSeattle Storm
RE3
retarb
事件盈亏
+$2,271.47
成交量
$6,479.72
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$330.82
成交量
$6,230.97
持仓数
Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces
LA5
lavendergooms
事件盈亏
+$945.16
成交量
$4,946.97
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces
HI6
hi774c
事件盈亏
-$20.50
成交量
$4,346.14
持仓数
Seattle Storm
PO7
poshposh
事件盈亏
+$106.63
成交量
$3,134.05
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces
SP8
sportmaster777
事件盈亏
+$18.68
成交量
$3,000.61
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces

常见问题

当前市场对「Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -15.5 以 5,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5(5,650%),以及 Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5(5,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $169.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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