Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

$166.1K Vol
2026年9月25日
Active
概率趋势
Las Vegas Aces 99.2%
Phoenix Mercury 1.1%

核心摘要

根据「Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury 以 9,870% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $166.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 (9,995%):Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury (9,870%):以 9,870% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -9.5 (8,805%)、O/U 174.5 (8,100%),以及 O/U 175.5 (7,750%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury9870.0%$68.4K9870¢-9770¢
4Spread -9.58805.0%$53.0K8805¢-8705¢
5O/U 174.58100.0%$25.2K8100¢-8000¢
6O/U 175.57750.0%$21.4K7750¢-7650¢
7Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 24 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 25, 2026

  • 12:11 AM
    GBGBSM2
    $23.01

    Bought 46.02 Over for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.5

  • 12:11 AM
    VMvmp1212
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.5

  • 12:04 AM
    SUsuperaiapi
    $2.67

    Bought 5.134616 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 12:04 AM
    GOGoodShopper
    $5.10

    Bought 9.8 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 12:04 AM
    ALalexma11224
    $7.00

    Bought 14.285715 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) at 0.49

  • 12:01 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.68

    Bought 5.71 Over for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 at 0.47

Sep 24, 2026

  • 11:45 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.80

    Bought 5.71 Over for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.49

  • 11:44 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.80

    Bought 5.71 Over for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.49

  • 11:44 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $3.96

    Bought 7.61 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 11:36 PM
    FEfeira8
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Under for Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 at 0.54

  • 11:28 PM
    KEkeepss
    $16.80

    Bought 32.307693 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 11:27 PM
    DCdc8383
    $3.93

    Bought 7.55 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
+$125.42
成交量
$25,084.25
持仓数
Phoenix Mercury
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$58.16
成交量
$14,008.00
持仓数
Las Vegas AcesUnderPhoenix Mercury+1
QU3
QuentinChen
事件盈亏
-$55.08
成交量
$11,015.00
持仓数
Phoenix Mercury
MO4
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$1.81
成交量
$10,701.05
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces
AN5
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$29.74
成交量
$5,947.00
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$33.38
成交量
$5,847.62
持仓数
Las Vegas AcesUnderOver+1
0C7
0x0c15…3603
事件盈亏
-$14.07
成交量
$4,954.29
持仓数
Under
HE8
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$15.00
成交量
$3,000.00
持仓数
Las Vegas Aces

常见问题

当前市场对「Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5(9,995%),以及 Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury(9,870%)。该市场总成交量已达 $166.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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