Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

$164.5K Vol
2026年10月1日
Active
概率趋势
September 30? 3.5%
August 30? 0.1%
August 9? 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，No 以压倒性的 9,665% 获胜概率主导市场；Yes 以 335% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $164.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • No (9,665%)：No 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,665¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Yes (335%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Yes 保持着 335% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 335¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1No9665.0%—9665¢-9565¢
2Yes335.0%—335¢-235¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:32 AM
    TETechSavvy26746
    $7.01

    Bought 7.223935 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 07:57 AM
    WHWhimsicalWanderer9485
    $3.20

    Bought 3.302354 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 05:18 AM
    OLOlivia444
    $4.00

    Bought 4.1237 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 03:51 AM
    GEGeorge.H
    $3.34

    Bought 3.443266 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:35 PM
    INintelligence98
    $19.42

    Bought 20.015833 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 01:11 PM
    DRDr.PNL
    $5.05

    Sold 5.37 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.94

  • 12:00 PM
    HOhomaki
    $0.60

    Sold 20 Yes for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.03

Aug 29, 2026

  • 05:54 AM
    AUAureusVault
    $45.70

    Sold 48.11 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.95

Aug 27, 2026

  • 07:55 PM
    POpo-ly28-test-user6
    $0.99

    Sold 24.87 Yes for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.04

Aug 26, 2026

  • 01:34 AM
    ——
    $12.02

    Bought 12.516466 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.96

Aug 24, 2026

  • 06:51 PM
    V2v2LCcPrd1x8Q
    $5.39

    Bought 5.67368 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.95

Aug 22, 2026

  • 05:23 AM
    OXox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA
    $5.88

    Sold 6.32 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.93

常见问题

当前市场对「Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，No 以 9,665% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Yes（335%）。该市场总成交量已达 $164.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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