Who will Uroš Medić fight next?

$8.6K Vol
2027年8月2日
Active
概率趋势
Mike Malott 38.0%
Joaquin Buckley 16.6%
Michael Venom Page 3.5%

核心摘要

根据「Who will Uroš Medić fight next?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Mike Malott 以压倒性的 3,815% 获胜概率主导市场;Joaquin Buckley 以 1,655% 位居第二,Michael Venom Page 以 335% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $8.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Mike Malott (3,815%):Mike Malott 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 3,815¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Joaquin Buckley (1,655%):作为最可行的替代选项,Joaquin Buckley 保持着 1,655% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,655¢。
  • Michael Venom Page (335%):以 335% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Michael Venom Page 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Mike Malott3815.0%$2.0K3815¢-3715¢
2Joaquin Buckley1655.0%$6.4K1655¢-1555¢
3Michael Venom Page335.0%$227335¢-235¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Uroš Medić is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Uroš Medić is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Medić is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

常见问题

当前市场对「Who will Uroš Medić fight next?」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Mike Malott 以 3,815% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Joaquin Buckley(1,655%),以及 Michael Venom Page(335%)。该市场总成交量已达 $8.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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