What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game?

$862 Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
概率趋势
Safety 97.0%
Fumble / Fumbles 95.0%
Trade / Traded 86.5%
Inch / Inches 72.0%
Wild 69.5%

核心摘要

根据「What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Safety 以压倒性的 9,725% 获胜概率主导市场;Fumble / Fumbles 以 9,500% 位居第二,Trade / Traded 以 8,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $862,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Safety (9,725%):Safety 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,725¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Fumble / Fumbles (9,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Fumble / Fumbles 保持着 9,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,500¢。
  • Trade / Traded (8,650%):以 8,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Trade / Traded 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Inch / Inches (7,100%)、Turf (4,750%),以及 Wild (4,450%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Offside / Offsides 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Safety9725.0%—9725¢-9625¢
2Fumble / Fumbles9500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
3Trade / Traded8650.0%$378650¢-8550¢
4Inch / Inches7100.0%$557100¢-7000¢
5Turf4750.0%$374750¢-4650¢
6Wild4450.0%$374450¢-4350¢
7Offside / Offsides3850.0%$1003850¢-3750¢
8Wind / Windy3650.0%$373650¢-3550¢
9What a Catch3450.0%$373450¢-3350¢
10No Good2850.0%$372850¢-2750¢
11Roughing The Passer1950.0%$371950¢-1850¢
12Hail Mary1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
13-No Qualifying Event-1650.0%$4481650¢-1550¢
14Late Hit1100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
15One Handed700.0%—700¢-600¢
16Referee 5+ times305.0%—305¢-205¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by a play-by-play announcer or a game analyst of the official ESPN announce team during the English-language broadcast of the Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints game on ESPN, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the events of the official game broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending with the conclusion of the final play of the game, including any overtime, if applicable. Pregame coverage, halftime studio coverage, and postgame commentary will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, the "ESPN announce team" refers only to the play-by-play announcer and the game analyst or analysts calling this game from the broadcast booth. Remarks made by sideline reporters, rules or officiating analysts, studio hosts, guest commentators, in-booth guests, players, coaches, or any other individuals will not count toward resolution, including when such remarks air during in-game interviews or in-game segments.

The resolution source for this market is the national ESPN telecast of this game. Any alternate or simultaneous presentation of this game, including alternate broadcasts, alternate audio or commentary feeds, and separately produced local team telecasts, will not be considered for resolution purposes. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

常见问题

当前市场对「What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game?」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Safety 以 9,725% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Fumble / Fumbles(9,500%),以及 Trade / Traded(8,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $862,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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