
Poland vs. Bulgaria
核心摘要
根据「Poland vs. Bulgaria」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Poland vs. Bulgaria 以压倒性的 6,800% 获胜概率主导市场;Set Handicap: Poland (-1.5) vs Bulgaria (+1.5) 以 5,000% 位居第二,Poland vs. Bulgaria: Total Sets O/U 3.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Poland vs. Bulgaria (6,800%):Poland vs. Bulgaria 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Set Handicap: Poland (-1.5) vs Bulgaria (+1.5) (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Set Handicap: Poland (-1.5) vs Bulgaria (+1.5) 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Poland vs. Bulgaria: Total Sets O/U 3.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Poland vs. Bulgaria: Total Sets O/U 3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poland vs. Bulgaria | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 2 | Set Handicap: Poland (-1.5) vs Bulgaria (+1.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Poland vs. Bulgaria: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the volleyball match between Poland and Bulgaria in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 16 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Poland" if Poland wins the match. It will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
常见问题
当前市场对「Poland vs. Bulgaria」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Poland vs. Bulgaria 以 6,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Set Handicap: Poland (-1.5) vs Bulgaria (+1.5)(5,000%),以及 Poland vs. Bulgaria: Total Sets O/U 3.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
