
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
核心摘要
根据「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) 以 950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $893.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) (9,050%):Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) (950%):以 950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and NRG in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against NRG.
This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against 100 Thieves.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 11, 2026
- 01:51 AMKUkuipinsima$2.99
Bought 5.436364 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner at 0.55
- 01:51 AMKUkuipinsima$780.56
Bought 1419.206072 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner at 0.55
- 01:44 AM——$9.66
Bought 18.941177 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.51
- 01:38 AM0X0xFd1df6a11eB52B2B1a1b6131E7a7D604291e6F23-1782245241652$50.00
Bought 89.285715 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.56
- 01:23 AM——$4.96
Bought 7.630768 Over for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 0.65
- 01:18 AMMImirabu$1.00
Bought 2.222223 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45
- 01:18 AM0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994$3.08
Bought 6.844445 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45
- 01:18 AMSUsuntori$98.09
Bought 175.160715 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.56
- 12:48 AM0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994$2.51
Bought 5.577778 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45
- 12:48 AMHUhumbwrld$80.00
Bought 142.857143 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.56
- 12:44 AM0X0x4e40ca97cA34cCaAa5DCbf3C4f8A9c46ea56dba8-1769619687026$5.00
Bought 11.111112 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45
- 12:43 AM0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994$3.14
Bought 6.977778 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5(9,050%),以及 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)(950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $893.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
