UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

$857.2K Vol
1年1月1日
Resolved
概率趋势
Melissa Gatto 52.5%
Ernesta Kareckaite 47.5%

核心摘要

根据「UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，No 以压倒性的 9,500% 获胜概率主导市场；Yes 以 500% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $857.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • No (9,500%)：No 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,500¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Yes (500%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Yes 保持着 500% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 500¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1No9500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
2Yes500.0%—500¢-400¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Melissa Gatto" if Melissa Gatto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ernesta Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 09:41 PM
    WHwhosay
    $8.00

    Bought 199.95 Yes for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.04

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $5.73

    Bought 6.03 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.95

  • 09:33 PM
    DIdips.
    $67.89

    Bought 73 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.93

  • 09:33 PM
    DIdips.
    $24.13

    Bought 25.946228 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.93

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $43.80

    Bought 106.82 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.41

  • 09:33 PM
    DIdips.
    $58.14

    Bought 141.804879 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.41

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $21.06

    Bought 51.365854 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.41

  • 09:31 PM
    ——
    $4.90

    Bought 5 Yes for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.98

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $0.05

    Bought 0.25 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.2

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $6.20

    Bought 31 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.2

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811
    $3.09

    Bought 28.08 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.11

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ME1
MEK9
事件盈亏
-$162.00
成交量
$299.99
持仓数
Yes
DI2
dips.
事件盈亏
+$78.55
成交量
$240.75
持仓数
No
WH3
whosay
事件盈亏
+$2.00
成交量
$199.95
持仓数
Yes
E94
0xE911…6286
事件盈亏
+$108.88
成交量
$195.47
持仓数
No
JA5
Jarrad
事件盈亏
+$2.00
成交量
$99.98
持仓数
No
D06
0xd0df…d3f9
事件盈亏
-$51.67
成交量
$64.33
持仓数
Yes
B87
0xB8eE…6811
事件盈亏
+$23.59
成交量
$28.08
持仓数
No

常见问题

当前市场对「UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，No 以 9,500% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Yes（500%）。该市场总成交量已达 $857.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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