Pro Football: Saquon Barkley 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns

$2.5K Vol
2027年1月13日
Active
概率趋势
3.5+ rushing TDs 72.0%
5.5+ rushing TDs 66.0%
9.5+ rushing TDs 30.5%
7.5+ rushing TDs 27.5%
11.5+ rushing TDs 14.5%

核心摘要

根据「Pro Football: Saquon Barkley 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,3.5+ rushing TDs 以压倒性的 7,150% 获胜概率主导市场;5.5+ rushing TDs 以 6,550% 位居第二,9.5+ rushing TDs 以 3,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $2.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 3.5+ rushing TDs (7,150%):3.5+ rushing TDs 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $495 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 5.5+ rushing TDs (6,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,5.5+ rushing TDs 保持着 6,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,550¢。
  • 9.5+ rushing TDs (3,100%):以 3,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 9.5+ rushing TDs 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 7.5+ rushing TDs (2,800%),以及 11.5+ rushing TDs (1,400%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 7.5+ rushing TDs 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
13.5+ rushing TDs7150.0%$4957150¢-7050¢
25.5+ rushing TDs6550.0%6550¢-6450¢
39.5+ rushing TDs3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
47.5+ rushing TDs2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
511.5+ rushing TDs1400.0%$2.0K1400¢-1300¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Saquon Barkley records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Saquon Barkley does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Saquon Barkley recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Pro Football: Saquon Barkley 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,3.5+ rushing TDs 以 7,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 5.5+ rushing TDs(6,550%),以及 9.5+ rushing TDs(3,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $2.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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