
Blues vs. Blackhawks
核心摘要
根据「Blues vs. Blackhawks」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 8,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 以 5,800% 位居第二,Blues vs. Blackhawks 以 5,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $148.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 (8,050%):Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $317 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 (5,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 保持着 5,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,800¢。
- Blues vs. Blackhawks (5,550%):以 5,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Blues vs. Blackhawks 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 (4,100%)、Spread -1.5 (3,050%),以及 Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5 (2,350%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 | 8050.0% | $317 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 2 | Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 | 5800.0% | $9.3K | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 3 | Blues vs. Blackhawks | 5550.0% | $80.1K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 4 | Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 | 4100.0% | $713 | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 5 | Spread -1.5 | 3050.0% | $67.8K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 6 | Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5 | 2350.0% | $14 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 6 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues".
If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 6, 2026
- 09:01 PMILilovegd$6.00
Bought 10.344828 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 09:00 PMRURufus24$1.00
Bought 1.315787 Over for Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 at 0.76
- 09:00 PMKIKingSheep$45.00
Bought 77.586207 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 09:00 PM5B5BTCPUZZLE$2.82
Bought 6.55814 Blackhawks for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.43
- 09:00 PMJAjade04$6.00
Bought 10.344828 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 08:57 PMSCsc1pt0x$14.00
Bought 24.13793 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 08:55 PMJOJobear2$5.10
Bought 8.793104 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 08:55 PMHAHan88$14.85
Bought 25.603447 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 08:54 PM5B5BTCPUZZLE$3.29
Bought 7.651163 Blackhawks for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.43
- 08:54 PM0X0x46c2e6a748140F108846c96E23890082A4312Cc7-1789712013374$60.00
Bought 103.448276 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 08:51 PMTRTrumanChen$7.50
Bought 12.931035 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
- 08:50 PMMIMiguel262144$19.14
Bought 33 Blues for Blues vs. Blackhawks at 0.58
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Blues vs. Blackhawks」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 以 8,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5(5,800%),以及 Blues vs. Blackhawks(5,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $148.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
