Penguins vs. Capitals

$83.5K Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
概率趋势
Capitals 73.5%
Penguins 26.5%

核心摘要

根据「Penguins vs. Capitals」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 9,685% 获胜概率主导市场;Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 以 8,700% 位居第二,Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 以 7,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $83.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 (9,685%):Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,685¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $771 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 (8,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 保持着 8,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,700¢。
  • Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 (7,800%):以 7,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5 (5,350%)、Spread: Capitals (-1.5) (4,950%),以及 Penguins vs. Capitals (2,750%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.59685.0%$7719685¢-9585¢
2Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.58700.0%$4538700¢-8600¢
3Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.57800.0%$2.7K7800¢-7700¢
4Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.55350.0%$2515350¢-5250¢
5Spread: Capitals (-1.5)4950.0%$8.2K4950¢-4850¢
6Penguins vs. Capitals2750.0%$116.5K2750¢-2650¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 7 at 7:30PM ET:

If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins".

If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 7, 2026

  • 08:57 PM
    ——
    $66.95

    Bought 352.368422 Under for Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 at 0.19

  • 08:55 PM
    0X0x32ee81AAd47D19fb2E6f70eF47eE94Ff455E6C29-1725881895659
    $11.00

    Bought 21.568628 Over for Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 at 0.51

  • 08:55 PM
    0X0x32ee81AAd47D19fb2E6f70eF47eE94Ff455E6C29-1725881895659
    $22.00

    Bought 52.380953 Penguins for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.42

  • 08:55 PM
    MIMiguel262144
    $8.85

    Bought 15 Capitals for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.59

  • 08:51 PM
    LOLonnieHawkins
    $4.95

    Sold 8.54 Capitals for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.58

  • 08:51 PM
    ——
    $2.10

    Sold 3.62 Capitals for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.58

  • 08:51 PM
    DWdwedwd
    $0.01

    Sold 0.01 Capitals for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.58

  • 08:47 PM
    PSpsyviel
    $37.00

    Bought 62.711865 Capitals for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.59

  • 08:47 PM
    PSpsyviel
    $16.00

    Bought 27.118643 Capitals for Penguins vs. Capitals at 0.59

  • 08:46 PM
    JLjlangan
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Over for Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 at 0.51

  • 08:39 PM
    JAjade04
    $4.00

    Bought 6.349205 Penguins for Spread: Capitals (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:39 PM
    NANathan0376
    $5.00

    Bought 7.936508 Penguins for Spread: Capitals (-1.5) at 0.63

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

VE1
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$45.00
成交量
$14,999.97
持仓数
Capitals
RU2
rustin
事件盈亏
+$171.08
成交量
$11,405.63
持仓数
Capitals
RO3
royalestake
事件盈亏
-$6.28
成交量
$10,717.34
持仓数
Penguins
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$52.41
成交量
$10,480.90
持仓数
CapitalsCapitals
DI5
dimble
事件盈亏
-$146.59
成交量
$9,773.21
持仓数
Penguins
DV6
dv-pm
事件盈亏
-$37.57
成交量
$7,514.50
持仓数
Capitals
CO7
cocococococo
事件盈亏
-$27.17
成交量
$7,170.15
持仓数
PenguinsUnder
BR8
breezybets
事件盈亏
-$27.93
成交量
$5,585.46
持仓数
PenguinsPenguins

常见问题

当前市场对「Penguins vs. Capitals」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 以 9,685% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5(8,700%),以及 Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5(7,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $83.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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