Islanders vs. Maple Leafs

$211.4K Vol
2026年10月1日
Active
概率趋势
Maple Leafs 56.5%
Islanders 43.5%

核心摘要

根据「Islanders vs. Maple Leafs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 7,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 以 5,650% 位居第二,Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 以 4,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $211.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 (7,750%):Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 (5,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 保持着 5,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,650¢。
  • Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 (4,450%):以 4,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Islanders vs. Maple Leafs (4,350%)、Spread -1.5 (3,350%),以及 Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 (2,550%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Islanders vs. Maple Leafs 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.57750.0%$2.6K7750¢-7650¢
2Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.55650.0%$10.1K5650¢-5550¢
3Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.54450.0%$6.6K4450¢-4350¢
4Islanders vs. Maple Leafs4350.0%$192.6K4350¢-4250¢
5Spread -1.53350.0%$7.1K3350¢-3250¢
6Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.52550.0%$392550¢-2450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 30 at 7:30PM ET:

If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders".

If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 30, 2026

  • 08:58 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 44.444445 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.45

  • 08:55 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.56

  • 08:55 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.56

  • 08:53 PM
    DSDsl007007
    $7.24

    Bought 16.088889 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.45

  • 08:53 PM
    0X0x6475d7f132BD68185903Ae538dFC7ED6074a8028-1778412597460
    $82.50

    Bought 150 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:52 PM
    ELElenes
    $67,355.45

    Bought 122464.45 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:52 PM
    0X0x32ee81AAd47D19fb2E6f70eF47eE94Ff455E6C29-1725881895659
    $6.00

    Bought 13.043479 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.46

  • 08:47 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.95

    Bought 9 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:28 PM
    WXWxWxW
    $20.75

    Bought 37.727273 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:22 PM
    JOJohnnyDarts
    $55.00

    Bought 100 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:22 PM
    HOHow-TO-Dota
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:12 PM
    CACashCremator
    $7.00

    Bought 15.217392 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.46

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CH1
chubbytoro
事件盈亏
+$3.91
成交量
$16,506.12
持仓数
Maple Leafs
PE2
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持仓数
Islanders
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$61.49
成交量
$9,281.91
持仓数
UnderIslandersOver
EL4
Elenes
事件盈亏
+$42.81
成交量
$8,559.97
持仓数
Maple Leafs
TA5
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件盈亏
+$40.92
成交量
$8,322.15
持仓数
OverOver
CO6
cocococococo
事件盈亏
-$27.78
成交量
$7,958.25
持仓数
Islanders
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$4.21
成交量
$3,189.82
持仓数
IslandersUnderOver
RO8
royalestake
事件盈亏
+$45.16
成交量
$3,010.39
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Islanders vs. Maple Leafs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 以 7,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5(5,650%),以及 Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5(4,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $211.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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