
Wild vs. Sabres
核心摘要
根据「Wild vs. Sabres」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 7,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 以 5,950% 位居第二,Wild vs. Sabres 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $111.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 (7,950%):Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 (5,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 保持着 5,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,950¢。
- Wild vs. Sabres (5,050%):以 5,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Wild vs. Sabres 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 (4,750%)、Spread -1.5 (3,050%),以及 Spread -1.5 (2,850%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 | 5950.0% | $62 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 3 | Wild vs. Sabres | 5050.0% | $83.5K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 | 4750.0% | $21.5K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 5 | Spread -1.5 | 3050.0% | $4.9K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 6 | Spread -1.5 | 2850.0% | $4.9K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 7 | Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 | 2750.0% | $8 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".
If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 6, 2026
- 01:12 PMCHchubbytoro$1,251.90
Bought 4173.01 Wild for Spread: Wild (-1.5) at 0.3
- 08:31 AMZXzxcwertyzx$25.00
Bought 47.169812 Under for Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 at 0.53
- 08:18 AM0X0x665A71550703201dd555Be0D896F2676Ef22e3FC-1782182746660$3.00
Bought 5.769231 Wild for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.52
- 07:46 AMCOcongmqian-gendan$2.70
Bought 5.510205 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 07:46 AMTHTheShortLong$299.88
Bought 612 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 06:48 AMNInigiri99$1.96
Bought 4 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 06:22 AMPMpmggd$6.00
Bought 11.538462 Wild for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.52
- 06:04 AMNInigiri99$9.31
Bought 19 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 05:22 AMNInigiri99$1.96
Bought 4 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 04:03 AMNInigiri99$9.31
Bought 19 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 03:57 AMNInigiri99$73.50
Bought 150 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
- 03:48 AMNInigiri99$9.80
Bought 20 Sabres for Wild vs. Sabres at 0.49
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Wild vs. Sabres」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 以 7,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5(5,950%),以及 Wild vs. Sabres(5,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $111.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
