
Golden Knights vs. Canucks
核心摘要
根据「Golden Knights vs. Canucks」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 7,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Golden Knights vs. Canucks 以 7,150% 位居第二,Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5 以 5,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $88.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5 (7,950%):Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.8K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks (7,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Golden Knights vs. Canucks 保持着 7,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,150¢。
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5 (5,850%):以 5,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -1.5 (4,950%)、Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 (4,650%),以及 Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5 (2,750%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5 | 7950.0% | $1.8K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | Golden Knights vs. Canucks | 7150.0% | $51.3K | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 3 | Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5 | 5850.0% | $464 | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 4 | Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | $9.7K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 | 4650.0% | $25.2K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 6 | Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".
If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to "Canucks".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 4, 2026
- 12:30 PMJOjorgeadrian$2.75
Bought 5.18868 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.53
- 10:08 AMTATattyBojangles$249.21
Bought 530.229167 Golden Knights for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:08 AM0X0x124628E686dB22da39b6Ee43CA786C8A074BD6F2-1782831456470$15.00
Bought 27.777778 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.54
- 09:27 AMSNsn-ow$0.31
Bought 0.59 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.53
- 09:27 AMDVdv-pm$2,374.93
Bought 4481 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.53
- 09:20 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.886793 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.53
- 09:08 AMOMOmegaFlow001$5.00
Bought 9.433963 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.53
- 09:08 AMTEtestoooorr$6.77
Bought 12.773585 Canucks for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.53
- 09:08 AMBRbreezybets$1,054.52
Bought 2243.67 Golden Knights for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.47
- 07:16 AM——$1.50
Bought 4.6875 Canucks for Golden Knights vs. Canucks at 0.32
- 07:16 AMJAJAMJAMJAM4$872.16
Bought 1264 Golden Knights for Golden Knights vs. Canucks at 0.69
- 07:07 AMDEdekivagyok$2.65
Bought 5 Under for Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 at 0.53
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Golden Knights vs. Canucks」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5 以 7,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Golden Knights vs. Canucks(7,150%),以及 Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5(5,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $88.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
