Patriots vs. Seahawks

$135.5K Vol
2026年9月10日
Active
概率趋势
Seahawks 62.5%
Patriots 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「Patriots vs. Seahawks」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 24.5 以压倒性的 9,300% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 26.5 以 9,250% 位居第二,O/U 28.5 以 8,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $135.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 24.5 (9,300%):O/U 24.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,300¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 26.5 (9,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 26.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • O/U 28.5 (8,850%):以 8,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 28.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 30.5 (8,800%)、3Q O/U 3.5 (8,300%),以及 O/U 32.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 34.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 24.59300.0%9300¢-9200¢
2O/U 26.59250.0%9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 28.58850.0%8850¢-8750¢
4O/U 30.58800.0%8800¢-8700¢
53Q O/U 3.58300.0%8300¢-8200¢
6O/U 32.58250.0%8250¢-8150¢
7O/U 34.57800.0%$2037800¢-7700¢
82Q O/U 7.57800.0%7800¢-7700¢
94Q O/U 6.57650.0%7650¢-7550¢
102H O/U 15.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
11O/U 36.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
12Patriots O/U 14.57300.0%7300¢-7200¢
13Seahawks O/U 18.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
142H O/U 18.56900.0%6900¢-6800¢
15Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
16O/U 38.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
17Patriots 2H O/U 7.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
18Seahawks 2H O/U 10.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
193Q O/U 6.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
20O/U 40.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
21Patriots 1H O/U 7.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
22Patriots O/U 17.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
23Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
24O/U 41.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
25Spread -1.55850.0%$3065850¢-5750¢
26Seahawks O/U 21.55850.0%$7725850¢-5750¢
27Patriots 2H O/U 9.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
28Spread -2.55650.0%$2565650¢-5550¢
29O/U 42.55650.0%$1035650¢-5550¢
302H Spread -0.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
31Seahawks 1H O/U 10.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
32Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
332H O/U 21.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
342Q O/U 10.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
35O/U 43.55350.0%$6615350¢-5250¢
36Seahawks 2H O/U 12.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
371H Spread -1.55300.0%$4325300¢-5200¢
382H Spread -1.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
39Patriots 1H O/U 9.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
401H Spread -2.55100.0%$2115100¢-5000¢
411Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
421Q O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
431Q O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
441Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
461Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
513Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
523Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
533Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
553Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
563Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
574Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
624Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
631Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
642Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69Safety?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70Team to Record Longest FG5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71O/U 44.54950.0%$7.8K4950¢-4850¢
72Seahawks 1H O/U 12.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
73Patriots O/U 20.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
742H Spread -2.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
751H O/U 22.54750.0%$74750¢-4650¢
762H O/U 24.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
77Spread -3.54650.0%$22.0K4650¢-4550¢
782Q Spread -2.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
79Patriots 2H O/U 11.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
801Q Spread -0.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
812Q O/U 13.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
822H Spread -3.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
834Q Spread -2.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
84Spread -4.54350.0%$15.8K4350¢-4250¢
85O/U 46.54350.0%$1.5K4350¢-4250¢
861Q Spread -2.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
871H O/U 23.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
88Seahawks O/U 24.54250.0%$3144250¢-4150¢
89Seahawks 2H O/U 14.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
902H Spread -4.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
911H Moneyline4100.0%$6.5K4100¢-4000¢
92O/U 47.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
932Q O/U 19.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
942H Moneyline4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
95Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
96Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
97Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
983Q Spread -2.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
99Spread -6.53850.0%$57.8K3850¢-3750¢
1002Q Spread -3.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
101Patriots vs. Seahawks3750.0%$18.8K3750¢-3650¢
102O/U 48.53700.0%$223700¢-3600¢
103Patriots O/U 23.53650.0%$33650¢-3550¢
1044Q Spread -3.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
1052H O/U 27.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
106A.J. Brown: Anytime Touchdown3550.0%$473550¢-3450¢
107Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown3500.0%$483500¢-3400¢
108Seahawks 1H O/U 14.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
109Patriots 1H O/U 11.53400.0%$53400¢-3300¢
1101Q Spread -3.53300.0%$133300¢-3200¢
111O/U 50.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
1123Q Spread -3.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
113Patriots O/U 26.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
114Seahawks O/U 27.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
115Seahawks O/U 30.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
1164Q Spread -1.52750.0%$8362750¢-2650¢
117Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-132700.0%2700¢-2600¢
118Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
119O/U 52.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
120Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-62500.0%2500¢-2400¢
121Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-202400.0%2400¢-2300¢
122Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+2350.0%2350¢-2250¢
123Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown2350.0%$3432350¢-2250¢
124Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-62300.0%2300¢-2200¢
1254Q Spread -4.52250.0%$3662250¢-2150¢
126Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-122250.0%2250¢-2150¢
127O/U 54.52150.0%2150¢-2050¢
128Exact Margin: Patriots by 13-182050.0%2050¢-1950¢
129Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdown2050.0%$32050¢-1950¢
130Exact Margin: Patriots by 19-241850.0%1850¢-1750¢
131Exact Margin: Patriots by 25+1800.0%1800¢-1700¢
132George Holani: Anytime Touchdown1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
133O/U 56.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
134O/U 58.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
135Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown1400.0%1400¢-1300¢
136O/U 60.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
137AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown1300.0%1300¢-1200¢
138Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown1300.0%1300¢-1200¢
1391H O/U 31.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
140Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown1200.0%$1061200¢-1100¢
141O/U 62.5950.0%950¢-850¢
142O/U 64.5850.0%850¢-750¢
1431Q O/U 14.5850.0%850¢-750¢
144Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ TD850.0%850¢-750¢
145Jadarian Price 2+ TD800.0%800¢-700¢
146TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown600.0%600¢-500¢
147Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TD600.0%600¢-500¢
148A.J. Brown 2+ TD550.0%550¢-450¢
149Exact Margin: Tie535.0%$200535¢-435¢
150Cooper Kupp 2+ TD500.0%500¢-400¢
151George Holani 2+ TD500.0%500¢-400¢
152Rashid Shaheed 2+ TD305.0%305¢-205¢
153AJ Barner 2+ TD305.0%305¢-205¢
154Romeo Doubs 2+ TD305.0%305¢-205¢
155TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TD200.0%200¢-100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 9 at 8:20PM ET:

If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots".

If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BO1
botbot
事件盈亏
+$282.94
成交量
$56,587.83
持仓数
Seahawks
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$166.67
成交量
$38,983.90
持仓数
PatriotsPatriotsOver
SU3
SunlineTicker
事件盈亏
-$216.01
成交量
$32,828.37
持仓数
PatriotsSeahawks
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$94.79
成交量
$22,127.86
持仓数
PatriotsSeahawksSeahawks+4
MA5
maz26
事件盈亏
+$90.98
成交量
$17,250.60
持仓数
Patriots
BI6
binkybarnes55
事件盈亏
-$39.97
成交量
$7,994.99
持仓数
Seahawks
MO7
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
-$29.27
成交量
$5,853.99
持仓数
Under
OF8
Offshore820
事件盈亏
+$23.58
成交量
$5,602.47
持仓数
OverOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Patriots vs. Seahawks」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 24.5 以 9,300% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 26.5(9,250%),以及 O/U 28.5(8,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $135.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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