Colts vs. Chiefs

$307.4K Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
概率趋势
Chiefs 72.5%
Colts 27.5%

核心摘要

根据「Colts vs. Chiefs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 27.5 以压倒性的 9,400% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 29.5 以 9,150% 位居第二,O/U 31.5 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $307.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 27.5 (9,400%):O/U 27.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,400¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 29.5 (9,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 29.5 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
  • O/U 31.5 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 31.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 33.5 (8,500%)、O/U 35.5 (8,200%),以及 O/U 37.5 (7,500%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 27.59400.0%9400¢-9300¢
2O/U 29.59150.0%9150¢-9050¢
3O/U 31.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4O/U 33.58500.0%8500¢-8400¢
5O/U 35.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
6O/U 37.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
7O/U 39.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
8O/U 41.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
9Spread -3.55950.0%$985950¢-5850¢
10O/U 43.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
11Spread -4.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
12O/U 44.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
13Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
14Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
15O/U 45.55250.0%$2025250¢-5150¢
16Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
17Spread -5.55050.0%$267.7K5050¢-4950¢
182H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Safety?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Team to Record Longest FG5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Colts vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
242Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
253Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
264Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-134950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28Exact Margin: Colts by 13-184900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Exact Margin: Colts by 7-124900.0%4900¢-4800¢
30Spread -6.54850.0%$26.9K4850¢-4750¢
31O/U 46.54850.0%$20.8K4850¢-4750¢
32Exact Margin: Tie4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
33Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-64850.0%4850¢-4750¢
34Exact Margin: Colts by 19-244750.0%4750¢-4650¢
35Exact Margin: Colts by 1-64700.0%4700¢-4600¢
36Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
37Exact Margin: Colts by 25+4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
38Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-204650.0%4650¢-4550¢
39Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
40Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
41O/U 47.54550.0%$554550¢-4450¢
42Spread -7.54250.0%$444250¢-4150¢
43O/U 48.54200.0%$734200¢-4100¢
44O/U 49.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
451Q Moneyline3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
46O/U 50.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
47Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
48Spread -10.53600.0%$663600¢-3500¢
491H Moneyline3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
50O/U 51.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
51O/U 53.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
52Colts vs. Chiefs2750.0%$5.9K2750¢-2650¢
53O/U 55.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
54O/U 57.51950.0%$51950¢-1850¢
55O/U 59.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
56O/U 61.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
57O/U 63.51000.0%$401000¢-900¢
58O/U 65.5700.0%700¢-600¢
59O/U 67.5650.0%650¢-550¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 8:20PM ET:

If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts".

If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 09:42 AM
    CEcelsius60622
    $80.00

    Bought 160 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:42 AM
    PAPapanya
    $2.50

    Bought 5 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:42 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $248.36

    Bought 496.72 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:41 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $6,209.00

    Bought 12418 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:41 AM
    $7.58

    Bought 14.86 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:41 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 19.6 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:04 AM
    DIDILLING3R
    $4.08

    Sold 8.32 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.49

  • 09:04 AM
    DIDILLING3R
    $4.16

    Bought 8.32 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 08:37 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 08:36 AM
    OMomoi0i0
    $6,870.06

    Bought 13470.71 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 08:36 AM
    OMomoi0i0
    $6,049.52

    Bought 11861.81 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 08:24 AM
    BBbbbetk
    $510.00

    Bought 1000 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
+$102.36
成交量
$23,195.00
持仓数
UnderColts
EL2
Elaran1993
事件盈亏
-$96.61
成交量
$19,326.19
持仓数
Over
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$58.97
成交量
$11,720.91
持仓数
Colts
HE4
Herdonia
事件盈亏
-$27.59
成交量
$5,518.50
持仓数
Chiefs
MA5
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Chiefs
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$45.77
成交量
$3,290.94
持仓数
ColtsINDOver+1
BE7
betabot
事件盈亏
-$10.55
成交量
$2,109.40
持仓数
Chiefs
PM8
Pm15kc
事件盈亏
-$10.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持仓数
Chiefs

常见问题

当前市场对「Colts vs. Chiefs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 27.5 以 9,400% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 29.5(9,150%),以及 O/U 31.5(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $307.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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